Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26a095822b721738744c1307ace4266d60bd5ee34e5bee25b6eaa31d42bfb7ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsof Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons, IU Indy Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 6c | 3,268$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 1c | 1,410$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed IU Indy Jaguars | 45c | 830.25$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.31 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 54c | 668.93$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.47 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked IU Indy Jaguars | 35c | 658.38$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.72 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 35c | 635.57$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 5c | 617.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed IU Indy Jaguars | 7c | 543.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed IU Indy Jaguars | 3c | 378.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 38c | 367.17$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.1 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 53c | 360.63$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 75c | 338.6$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked IU Indy Jaguars | 48c | 298.03$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed IU Indy Jaguars | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 60c | 160.1$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 73c | 145.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed IU Indy Jaguars | 46c | 107.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 69c | 103.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 89.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed IU Indy Jaguars | 36c | 56.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 34c | 47.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed IU Indy Jaguars | 63c | 45.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 34c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…4e04backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 74c | 33.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 53c | 31.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 47c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…b082backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 53c | 22.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed IU Indy Jaguars | 46c | 21.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed IU Indy Jaguars | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 77c | 16.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguarsthis page
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 160.5Over won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 161.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.