TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea52…b082

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Fifa International at 50 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$33.63
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+86.4%+$34.57
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.37
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.38
Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Lakers vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$55.38
Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Kings vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Evansville Acesbacked Valparaiso Beacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Mercer Bearsbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Portland State Vikings vs. Montana Grizzliesbacked Portland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonelsbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.77
Richmond Spiders vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. USC Trojansbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.84
NJIT Highlanders vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.17
San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.98
Austin Peay Governors vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Austin Peay Governors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.89
William & Mary Tribe vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.96
UCLA Bruins vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.55
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.54
Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.17
UMBC Retrievers vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.77
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.