NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb143771bb44fdfbcc82c125c24166d7a4080863310c136153a407237c729dd91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 158,221$73,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,245.9 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 53c | 127,430$67,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,836.51 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 53c | 120,000$64,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,199.96 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 47c | 38,136$17,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,277.31 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 25,442$11,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,570.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 53c | 16,400$8,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,685.43 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 47c | 10,969$5,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,813.56 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 8,631$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Under | 51c | 5,898$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.05 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 46c | 5,145$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.94 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Over | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 3,373$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Over | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 2,496$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.75 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 2,104$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…4b76backed Over | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +127%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 48c | 1,615$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,420$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.65 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Over | 46c | 1,305$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 1,213$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.31 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 52c | 768$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 48c | 658.27$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.3 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 504$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 46c | 486.87$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.91 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 426.65$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.54 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 282.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Over | 49c | 263.09$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 219$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 190.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 52c | 186.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 49c | 178.36$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb5…2112backed Under | 66c | 151.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 55c | 134.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 66c | 129.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…b082backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 32c | 114.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 46c | 102.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…0a7abacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 91.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Under | 58c | 87.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 46c | 77.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 47c | 61.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 48c | 52.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 49.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…9051backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 43c | 40.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 56c | 35.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 44c | 34.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Over | 48c | 33.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 46c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Under | 54c | 31.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44e…c6b8backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 49c | 25.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 66c | 24.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 46c | 22.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 56c | 20.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…e480backed Under | 53c | 19.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail BlazersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Shaedon Sharpe: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.