NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe588d3d6bebca666983592dd6770b7d0ae87bb8d22b129eaa2b25567bb2111ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $942,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $992,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $942,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Cavaliers | 53c | 589,601$313,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276,530.17 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 440,865$207,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207,206.5 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…9c12backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 62,560$31,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,021.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 45,943$24,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,593.4 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 38,318$17,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,626.08 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 24,217$12,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,623.96 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 16,837$7,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,913.36 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Cavaliers | 51c | 16,200$8,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,938.08 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 12,407$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.17 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 9,605$4,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,546.55 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Cavaliers | 52c | 9,500$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.98 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Cavaliers | 46c | 8,443$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,570.26 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.99 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 6,500$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.71 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 48c | 6,122$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.61 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 5,969$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.33 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 5,329$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.63 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 51c | 4,749$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 3,664$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 3,600$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,853$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.47 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 2,500$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,446$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 2,065$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,783$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.02 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,498$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…4cc7backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,247$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.44 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…4363backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,013$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.84 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 848.65$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.3 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cavaliers | 46c | 770$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.8 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 710$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.3 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 707$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.26 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Cavaliers | 48c | 665.68$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.78 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 620.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Cavaliers | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 517$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.21 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Cavaliers | 43c | 500.17$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.1 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cavaliers | 48c | 482.26$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.78 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Cavaliers | 49c | 469.39$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.39 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 454$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.54 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 440.86$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.17 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6767…d905backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 432.69$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 55c | 403.05$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 399.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.98 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Cavaliers | 44c | 346.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.11 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 305.88$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.78 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Cavaliers | 52c | 273.15$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Cavaliers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6052…c0c3backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Cavaliers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cavaliers | 52c | 197.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…483dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…c6adbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…ae21backed Cavaliers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 157$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 141.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 137.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 133.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 130.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…e8e1backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 118.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…06e5backed Cavaliers | 52c | 114.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Cavaliers | 51c | 113$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…025fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Cavaliers | 48c | 104.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 102.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…788dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Cavaliers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Cavaliers | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 59.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 57.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 54.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…567dbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 53.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…ededbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1164…e19cbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail BlazersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Shaedon Sharpe: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.