NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22b33850161ad2614d878372c24312563857802423301bd0319212344767aa8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Over | 50c | 10,000$4,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,038.16 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 9,920$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 50c | 7,985$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,972.81 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 7,295$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670.49 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 4,756$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,423$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 2,192$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.15 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 49c | 1,704$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.08 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 1,272$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.4 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 1,218$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 45c | 1,089$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.91 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 991.4$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.06 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 830.29$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 51c | 709.25$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.53 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 52c | 661.98$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.97 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 49c | 596.04$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.06 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 591$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.41 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 14c | 499.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 475.9$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.92 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 447.02$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.38 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…4b76backed Over | 29c | 408$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +127%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 327.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 47c | 304.55$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 257.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 70c | 256.04$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 201.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Over | 52c | 192.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 52c | 188.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 52c | 178$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 53c | 177.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 52c | 171.79$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 53c | 155.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 47c | 137.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 115.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 52c | 103$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Over | 50c | 101.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…f3ffbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 53c | 98.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 78.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 51c | 75.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 50c | 51.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…0399backed Over | 53c | 47.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd46…8a23backed Under | 28c | 44.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 70c | 36.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 64c | 31.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 52c | 29.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…433dbacked Under | 60c | 27.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 52c | 21.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail BlazersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Shaedon Sharpe: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.