NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46823c7b2e03d5afa148197ca552a716fd25404a8f25689271259ccd3994593c

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Trail Blazers
Resolved: Feb 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $190,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $194,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,044 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5227…f9bdbacked Trail Blazers	49c	38,518$18,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,800	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers	53c	36,566$19,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,022.99	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc5…9c12backed Trail Blazers	45c	29,219$13,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,241.48	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Cavaliers	51c	23,254$11,832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,422.55	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Cavaliers	52c	18,750$9,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,999.97	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers	55c	10,405$5,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,718.26	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Trail Blazers	47c	9,465$4,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,448.53	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Cavaliers	53c	7,000$3,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,290	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Cavaliers	51c	5,878$2,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,880.43	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers	47c	5,812$2,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,735.94	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers	50c	5,272$2,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,609.81	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Trail Blazers	50c	5,001$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500.38	105	53.3%56 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Trail Blazers	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,449.98	207	44.9%93 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers	55c	3,933$2,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,756.65	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Cavaliers	56c	3,423$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,522.61	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers	48c	3,282$1,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,706.47	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers	43c	3,126$1,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,329.29	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers	52c	2,650$1,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,276.04	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Cavaliers	49c	2,061$1,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,043.22	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Cavaliers	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Trail Blazers	50c	2,000$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.75	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Cavaliers	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.18	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Cavaliers	53c	1,600$848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Cavaliers	50c	1,600$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	310	44.8%139 W · 171 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Cavaliers	52c	1,154$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.08	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Cavaliers	50c	1,099$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.3	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Trail Blazers	48c	1,000$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.33	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Trail Blazers	49c	996.82$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.44	125	47.2%59 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Cavaliers	64c	934.07$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.07	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Trail Blazers	51c	916.17$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.25	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Cavaliers	52c	800$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Trail Blazers	50c	750$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.9	221	38%84 W · 137 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Cavaliers	56c	714.29$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.29	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers	48c	591.1$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.73	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Trail Blazers	51c	589.8$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers	53c	574$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.74	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers	50c	500$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Cavaliers	49c	498.08$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.02	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Trail Blazers	47c	490$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.4	165	39.4%65 W · 100 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Trail Blazers	36c	429.63$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.27	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Cavaliers	49c	408.27$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.27	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Cavaliers	55c	362$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.9	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Trail Blazers	39c	354.95$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.08	216	42.1%91 W · 125 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers	73c	343.94$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.19	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Trail Blazers	48c	324.23$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.63	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ca…6413backed Trail Blazers	50c	256.1$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers	54c	247$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.62	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Trail Blazers	34c	224.37$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.26	397	36.3%144 W · 253 L	-27.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Cavaliers	59c	220.34$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.34	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers	65c	200.98$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.98	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Cavaliers	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Trail Blazers	47c	195$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.65	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Trail Blazers	11c	160$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.13	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Cavaliers	49c	150$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Cavaliers	49c	149.22$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.1	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Trail Blazers	48c	136.83$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.68	281	47.7%134 W · 147 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers	51c	117.63$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.64	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Cavaliers	53c	113.21$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.21	242	50.8%123 W · 119 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Trail Blazers	46c	104.47$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.8	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-6.9wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-36%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Cavaliers	52c	102$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.96	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Cavaliers	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	587	54.7%321 W · 266 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Trail Blazers	47c	99.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	228	50.9%116 W · 112 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Cavaliers	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Cavaliers	55c	92.26$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.52	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Trail Blazers	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers	48c	78.13$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.84	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Cavaliers	53c	64.15$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.15	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc54…9e1abacked Cavaliers	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.3wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x926c…a86bbacked Trail Blazers	48c	54.17$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-6.2wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Trail Blazers	45c	53.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Cavaliers	56c	48.41$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…9051backed Cavaliers	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Cavaliers	51c	47.06$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.06	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Trail Blazers	33c	46.97$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.58	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers	35c	45.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Trail Blazers	47c	42.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.12	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8677…4d2cbacked Cavaliers	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	156	43.6%68 W · 88 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b37…d7e9backed Cavaliers	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	119	38.7%46 W · 73 L	-10.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Cavaliers	50c	36$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Cavaliers	52c	33.83$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.24	177	50.8%90 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Trail Blazers	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	335	52.8%177 W · 158 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Trail Blazers	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Trail Blazers	42c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.67	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Cavaliers	48c	29.1$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.06	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers	67c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.48	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x602e…e237backed Cavaliers	51c	28.73$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.08	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	39cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Cavaliers	52c	28$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.51	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Cavaliers	53c	26.42$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	599	48.4%290 W · 309 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers	53c	26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.3	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Trail Blazers	50c	24.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Cavaliers	49c	22.73$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.59	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x726b…c72bbacked Cavaliers	55c	22.62$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.18	82	53.7%44 W · 38 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Cavaliers	53c	21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.87	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Cavaliers	53c	20.02$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.46	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71a5…ba6cbacked Cavaliers	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd46…8a23backed Trail Blazers	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-3.9wins	-0.32per pick	41cpaid	-87.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Trail BlazersCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Over won
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Shaedon Sharpe: Points O/U 22.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event