NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x910a90080c5fb2e2d74b656f494487658f55cc0be2f270ee6aa209e0ffb3f841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x433a…3bd8backed Under | 47c | 6,400$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…000bbacked Over | 53c | 6,400$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 3,571$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 2,925$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 54c | 2,663$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.97 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 2,642$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.32 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 2,240$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.47 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 1,954$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.95 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 55c | 1,531$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.31 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 51c | 902.13$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.09 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 52c | 749.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 714.38$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.27 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 687.69$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.7 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 676.67$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.1 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 640.24$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 53c | 622.86$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.73 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 599.98$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.65 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 569.3$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 48c | 547$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.44 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 54c | 416.67$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 386.9$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 207.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 45c | 186.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 51c | 184.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Over | 64c | 175.21$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 46c | 112.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 35c | 111.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 52c | 104$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 58c | 101.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 48c | 95.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 48c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 37c | 69.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 62.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 53.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 48c | 47.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 33.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 53c | 30.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Under | 45c | 27.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…b082backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 51c | 27.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 26.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2a…eac5backed Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 62c | 19.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 54c | 19.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. BullsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.