TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$370,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$371,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Bulls49c291,327$143,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,026.8487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hornets51c150,000$76,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,5002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets50c44,093$22,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,046.391,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets51c31,250$15,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,312.551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Hornets52c29,525$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,125.1920758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets51c13,500$6,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6152,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets52c13,012$6,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,306.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets51c10,174$5,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,944.524,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls48c7,119$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,440.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Hornets55c6,364$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.649250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets51c6,108$3,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,986.044,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets51c5,834$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.481,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets51c5,576$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.2482442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Hornets51c5,294$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,594.1238750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls45c5,030$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.72,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls48c4,961$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.13,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls48c4,778$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls50c3,494$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.813,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Hornets51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.1714753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Hornets51c2,745$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.141649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Bulls48c2,244$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.121,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets51c2,161$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.033,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets51c1,985$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.415,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Bulls47c1,711$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.4320741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Hornets53c1,610$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.4650754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Bulls48c1,580$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.4940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bulls34c1,423$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.611,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls47c1,263$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Hornets57c1,218$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.219149.5%45 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hornets52c1,186$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.292,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Bulls48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Hornets51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4908754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Bulls49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49029650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hornets52c802$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.961,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Hornets51c764$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.361,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Hornets53c717.97$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.4546145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Hornets52c669.23$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.2332151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Hornets51c606$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.9411940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls46c560.49$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.532,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Hornets55c386$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Hornets53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Hornets54c369.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9831551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets56c359.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7536449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bulls47c330$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.243,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Hornets55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13566645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Bulls48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets48c231.37$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.925,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Hornets53c213.21$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2123850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Hornets52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Bulls46c199.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hornets54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Hornets54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1914557.2%83 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Hornets55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8242143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hornets52c173.1$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Hornets53c166$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0226553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Bulls49c144.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9491846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Hornets52c128$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4454351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Hornets55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2772250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bulls45c119.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.411,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls46c111.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.413,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Bulls47c111$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1747349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Hornets46c108.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0838453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Bulls48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Hornets54c99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.541,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hornets54c91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.861,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Bulls57c88.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Bulls49c79.72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7721459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Bulls57c72.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.321,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2efc…5686backed Hornets49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.563167.7%21 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.28per pick40cpaid+48.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Bulls50c69.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9130151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Bulls49c65.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.557949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Hornets38c65.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6414344.1%63 W · 80 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b16…1290backed Hornets55c64.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6610753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Bulls46c64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.448350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls48c62.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.032,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Bulls61c61.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3845653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets51c57.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.43,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Bulls44c56.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258826.1%23 W · 65 L-12.5wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-36.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Hornets55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5551651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Hornets51c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4620140.3%81 W · 120 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x364b…f9bebacked Bulls45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Bulls49c48.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1716052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hornets43c42.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.291,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Hornets52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4611759.8%70 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bulls45c38.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e29…31c9backed Hornets55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.363444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Hornets55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3611656%65 W · 51 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Hornets42c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.37746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a92…9f51backed Bulls50c34.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.432860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Hornets53c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0416852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Bulls47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Bulls49c31.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5111661.2%71 W · 45 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Bulls48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca4…817ebacked Bulls47c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.691225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Hornets51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.722336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Hornets53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.18648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Hornets53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.145251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf372…f4c2backed Bulls46c27.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.78825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x26c9…3aedbacked Hornets55c27.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.