NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b5cd3782a1080a7defda9de9eee3dcee482b0a4952fc9fa4639b2b12ad56080
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Under | 51c | 14,841$7,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,272.19 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Over | 50c | 8,438$4,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,214.82 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 7,251$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 5,998$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 50c | 2,780$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.45 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 51c | 2,510$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.8 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 59c | 2,312$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 41c | 2,269$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Over | 49c | 2,240$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.6 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 1,449$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.63 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,359$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 1,262$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 49c | 958$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.42 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 49c | 840.82$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 717.61$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.73 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 574.28$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.4 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 332.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 45c | 176.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 51c | 167$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 151.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 120.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 52c | 109.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 96.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 59c | 84.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 58c | 81.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 69.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 41c | 54.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 49c | 51.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Over | 49c | 51.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd793…49b0backed Under | 56c | 45.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 38.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 32.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 51c | 23.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. BullsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.