NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa948922f7ad703066789d6fe8480485f2ebfa9802bec037af15093a4a8c819a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 4,999$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.37 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…39e0backed Over | 47c | 4,228$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 610$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.1 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 51c | 610$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.1 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 580.11$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 505.94$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 462.8$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.79 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 440.11$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 439.22$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.22 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 52c | 294$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 254.23$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 53c | 181.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 179$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…7cbabacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 45c | 58.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 53c | 46.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…4eaabacked Over | 47c | 46.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 45.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 41.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12b…b5d2backed Over | 45c | 37.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Under | 58c | 25.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…3667backed Under | 55c | 19.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…a12dbacked Under | 55c | 18.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. BullsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.