TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b4d…e246backed Bulls53c49,896$26,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,444.8129650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bulls50c39,694$19,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,828.7987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Hornets51c33,115$16,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,225.5251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Bulls52c30,136$15,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,670.8687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets49c18,583$9,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,487.434,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Bulls50c16,943$8,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,471.3332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Hornets48c15,111$7,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,857.6459347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets49c11,961$5,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,143.029,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Hornets50c11,083$5,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,541.548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets50c10,360$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1801,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Hornets49c10,204$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.089741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Bulls48c9,646$4,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,630.0716339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets48c7,500$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.992,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hornets51c7,178$3,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,520.511,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets45c7,134$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,888.314,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls55c7,031$3,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,837.333,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets48c6,975$3,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,611.184,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Bulls52c6,971$3,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,624.881,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hornets48c6,552$3,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,406.921,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Bulls50c6,500$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bulls50c6,049$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Hornets49c5,945$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,02224847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls52c5,844$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,038.751,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Hornets48c5,469$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.0212547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets48c5,335$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.21,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Bulls50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Bulls51c2,802$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.9789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls49c2,678$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.282,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets49c2,619$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.444,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets69c2,587$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Bulls51c2,393$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.4950653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hornets50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Bulls8c2,000$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15844821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hornets48c1,872$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.441,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Bulls50c1,840$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets49c1,750$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.072,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls50c1,605$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.873,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Bulls51c1,569$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80041954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Hornets48c1,531$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.0429652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Hornets51c1,381$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.5919359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Hornets50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Bulls51c1,196$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Hornets49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Bulls25c911.75$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.420741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bulls52c900$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46814358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets51c864.3$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.013,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bulls51c686.27$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets49c656.92$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.782,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Bulls51c610$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.116550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Hornets50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Bulls60c557.29$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.7918345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfaa…3858backed Hornets49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.23253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Hornets50c465.12$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.566953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Bulls58c456$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.4812536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Bulls49c438.78$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21511351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Hornets50c420.73$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.771,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4113…e904backed Hornets50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005048%24 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Hornets50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Hornets50c384$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1925558.2%32 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Hornets50c356$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1781258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hornets50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Hornets49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15352242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Bulls50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15091148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab9…cdfcbacked Bulls51c274.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405437%20 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Hornets49c273.75$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Bulls52c262.87$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1923446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets49c248.25$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.43,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hornets45c245.85$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.511,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Hornets50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11082440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Bulls51c215$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6512642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Hornets50c213.64$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8210251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Hornets48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.337041.4%29 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Hornets48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3323052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Hornets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Hornets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Bulls50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Bulls50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Hornets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10074547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc318…447abacked Hornets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Hornets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x696d…f89dbacked Hornets48c199.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.999853.1%52 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Bulls51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hornets48c191.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.851,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Bulls53c190.79$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Hornets50c187.28$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.643250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Bulls53c187$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0314144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a4…7e2dbacked Bulls51c175$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.251540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls56c162.55$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.33,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Hornets50c144$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7213045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Bulls51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708942.7%38 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Bulls53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.621854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Hornets49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.043946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…234fbacked Hornets49c101.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Bulls51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5137750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Hornets50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Bulls52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Hornets50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Hornets50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.