NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6ffe57081f6fbcdbbcacf3561b0802e876a1a51dd610a0b3f4d68225b440469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 6,872$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 4,697$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.67 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 45c | 4,221$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.43 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 51c | 3,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.35 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 2,542$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.01 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…08a9backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 1,238$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.78 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Over | 51c | 1,177$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,135$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 47c | 1,086$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.2 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Over | 53c | 978.4$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.85 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 793.8$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.9 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 676$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 601.75$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 583.61$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.62 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 53c | 564.85$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.48 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…801cbacked Over | 49c | 508.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 205.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Over | 55c | 182.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 47c | 167$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 138.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Over | 67c | 119$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 110.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 104.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 51c | 86.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 85.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 51c | 85.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…5116backed Over | 53c | 83.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Over | 50c | 74.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 64.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 63.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Over | 53c | 62.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 43c | 54.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Over | 55c | 45.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…144bbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 53c | 38.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 52c | 38.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…b082backed Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…e14ebacked Under | 44c | 24.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 23.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 51c | 19.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail BlazersTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.