NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeeb9a283f6600af7e2a54fe9f476d2700650e3a6b95bd8a6e030c3645dc24de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 23,558$12,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,014.46 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 18,192$8,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,277.74 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 15,286$7,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,948.81 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 53c | 10,409$5,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,516.66 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 4,830$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 4,055$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 3,299$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.55 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 47c | 2,660$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.57 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Under | 53c | 2,132$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 48c | 2,104$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.28 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 48c | 1,004$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.88 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Under | 51c | 759$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.09 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 49c | 728$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.07 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 716.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.26 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 713.01$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.64 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 643.27$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.25 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…d6fabacked Over | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 405$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Over | 51c | 397.79$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.73 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 396$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.84 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.78 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 49c | 270.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 45c | 268$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 235.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Under | 54c | 215$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 46c | 211.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 52c | 195.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 181.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 159.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 45c | 134$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 132.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 46c | 109.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 87.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Over | 55c | 71.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…4eaabacked Over | 45c | 48.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Over | 50c | 29.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 50c | 21.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail BlazersTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.