TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under49c17,000$8,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,329.371,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under52c12,500$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,500.215349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under52c10,485$5,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,452.4119754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c9,661$4,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,967.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over49c8,748$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,427.8434854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over48c8,253$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,291.817144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Under52c7,756$4,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,032.9411252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x250d…be0cbacked Under48c7,291$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over51c7,163$3,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,509.8751844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70015844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c12…39e2backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10db…bd7abacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under54c2,810$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.391,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c2,670$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.314,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over50c2,200$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0941,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.6725452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c1,525$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.712,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c1,431$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.074,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Under54c1,250$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.56352.4%33 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c1,145$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.449246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c1,040$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.61,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c940.99$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over48c845.83$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.8315141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c818$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.822,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40016148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c685.73$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.94,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under47c525$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7537755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2559117.6%16 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under54c453.69$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5311942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c417$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.841,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over48c416.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5514248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007041.4%29 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over46c383.39$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0354246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15928348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17435444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x852d…cfdabacked Over52c291.46$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c252.68$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over47c252$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.082,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over46c246.11$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.924151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under52c229.24$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8be…444ebacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Over49c194.63$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2621854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over53c189.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2732952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over45c185.16$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.551,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7838242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c121$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.835,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…b15bbacked Over50c116.74$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c109.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.213,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5084150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Over53c51.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1123047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Over44c51.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.666841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Over44c51.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.666437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…fa34backed Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over50c50.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.117741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.57851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2614151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c42.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.772,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca85…fe6cbacked Over49c41.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.024240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.662049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011051.8%57 W · 53 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c33…ff7cbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c37.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.741,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under52c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2423946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c33.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.771,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over53c33.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8967921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over37c31.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.948937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c31.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.753,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Over73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.13369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over49c28.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Under73c27.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Over48c23.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.359760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under60c23.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.873,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under52c23.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9914264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Over49c20.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5310653.8%57 W · 49 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Over59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.242434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.