NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16566a96d54789be2712f7b761e51bf7c2fcea5c0e52af70f06443a330b1d65a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 3,038$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 1c | 2,900$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +428%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…c092backed Under | 7c | 2,300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 11cpaid | +378%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Under | 52c | 1,931$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.97 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…da73backed Under | 62c | 1,782$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 41c | 1,376$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.41 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 57c | 1,372$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Under | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 60c | 1,192$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.9 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 55c | 959.04$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.88 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 38c | 873.51$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.54 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 12c | 833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 43c | 749.8$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.42 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 43c | 547.87$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.12 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Over | 43c | 481.4$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.4 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 379.58$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.63 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 57c | 378.2$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.57 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 53c | 369.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 314.47$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.32 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 35c | 263.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 252.65$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 247.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 34c | 226$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 43c | 177$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 17c | 156.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 151$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 57c | 148.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2860…b066backed Over | 70c | 144.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Under | 58c | 126.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…2669backed Under | 46c | 102.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 42c | 92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 12c | 89.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Under | 58c | 86.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 54c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Under | 40c | 62.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Under | 49c | 50.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Over | 36c | 49.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 70c | 49.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 48.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7df5backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Over | 45c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 68c | 39.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Over | 43c | 38.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6aec…9f72backed Under | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 44c | 24.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b1…6deebacked Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 50c | 23.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2620…524cbacked Under | 60c | 23.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…4c2dbacked Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Over | 62c | 17.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail BlazersTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.