TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,796 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd529…f0d4backed No65c2,548$1,645 inWon+$902.91,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f59…21cbbacked Yes35c1,137$400 inLost-$4001717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No50c757$377 inWon+$379.9547354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes35c651.54$230 inLost-$2304637%17 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd84b…67bebacked Yes35c631.43$221 inLost-$2211050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f8…d87fbacked Yes36c556.15$201 inLost-$2011414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9b2…fda3backed Yes34c384.54$130 inLost-$1301822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No64c357.05$229 inWon+$128.541,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No66c298.2$198 inWon+$100.514,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No66c248.82$164 inWon+$85.1383158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f5…2df3backed Yes36c105.8$38 inLost-$3860%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes34c100$34 inLost-$33.8913151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0606…1d57backed Yes39c92$36 inLost-$35.885837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No61c82.99$51 inWon+$32.3790863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Yes61c68.33$42 inLost-$429848%47 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes36c55.69$20 inLost-$206342.9%27 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe15f…93d7backed No67c50$34 inWon+$16.521672.2%156 W · 60 L+28.6wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No38c50$19 inWon+$311,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No63c41.46$26 inWon+$15.4776054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb58a…71a1backed Yes34c37$12 inLost-$12.431330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2481…878dbacked Yes34c35$12 inLost-$11.852532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed No49c27.36$13 inWon+$13.951,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No65c22.65$15 inWon+$7.9892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.