TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Under52c41,670$21,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,629.948944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over50c37,939$18,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,144.6251844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c37,206$18,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,602.831,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c25,626$12,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,996.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under51c18,367$9,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,303.419754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over50c16,371$8,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,185.548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under50c15,341$7,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,670.4229243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over49c11,919$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,078.4954246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under46c9,904$4,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,555.841,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over51c9,036$4,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,437.3837747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under51c8,270$4,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,217.9238251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over50c7,282$3,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.9244352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c5,998$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9991,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under50c4,040$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02058951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over51c3,922$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.8217550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under7c3,419$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.291,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c2,402$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.73,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c2,277$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.684,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over49c2,258$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c1,837$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.872,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under2c1,505$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.58540%34 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under8c1,234$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9529810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Over51c1,033$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.192450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Under20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c866.97$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9746258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over49c840.82$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.8223850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c704$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over80c678.77$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.753,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c527.96$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.12,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over74c432.7$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.532952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under20c405.17$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.483,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over49c403.59$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.242,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c396$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c377.17$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.984,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over51c300.16$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0819045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16535444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Under53c281.93$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.478742.5%37 W · 50 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under14c237.4$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0910637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Over56c219.32$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.771921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-62.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c207.81$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.145,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9116…a674backed Over80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.22757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0821748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over51c193.09$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8552246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under50c167$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.91,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under11c162$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.472,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under31c122.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c104.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over52c102.32$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Over62c100.42$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.426847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.511,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under25c93.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.911,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over67c88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4246940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over42c77.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.993,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under23c77.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.111,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c72.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.252,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd793…49b0backed Over65c71.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c68.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.491,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under22c64.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1215663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over79c61.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1717243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x755c…c9febacked Under52c55.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f40…361abacked Under45c49.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52070%14 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over68c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under50c45.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.692,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Over50c43.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9310653.8%57 W · 49 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Over51c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.147251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.824955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba2b…122fbacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under53c32.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4627246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over47c31.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.051,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e0…ee84backed Over48c31.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.043339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d31…f3c1backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+1,638.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4136350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over46c27.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0510623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Over75c26.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75966.1%39 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over73c25.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.863,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c25.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.761,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7d99backed Over51c24.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1412349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over49c21.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1657657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2710568.6%72 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.421553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…4dd4backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…6bf0backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddbb…bc3abacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfdc…0133backed Over51c19.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.654757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over56c19.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6456454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over66c15.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2916369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.524358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.