NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb21ddacbab4837910e6540a5b76627ef1f1f31e2f17a6226e24d99ca29e8fb1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Timberwolves, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $874,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $884,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $874,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 507,731$251,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256,565.34 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 155,404$79,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,256.26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 70,000$35,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,299.99 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 69,712$34,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,552.98 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 65,404$32,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,047.92 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 60,282$30,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,138.33 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 58,889$29,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,301.03 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 45,010$22,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,804.84 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Timberwolves | 50c | 42,034$21,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,072.91 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 50c | 41,499$20,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,780.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3619…a62fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 30,004$15,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,302 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 50c | 29,496$14,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,759.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 27,463$13,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,006.08 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 21,258$10,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,416.37 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 20,204$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…39e0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 17,522$8,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,936 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Timberwolves | 51c | 17,059$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 16,471$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65d…1417backed Timberwolves | 51c | 15,522$7,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,916 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 14,649$7,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,437.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…c15fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 13,794$6,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,977.94 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 12,331$6,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,218.72 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 50c | 12,162$6,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,107.39 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 11,353$5,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,790 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Timberwolves | 51c | 10,609$5,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,394.32 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 10,292$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Timberwolves | 50c | 9,959$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.7 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 9,816$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.88 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Timberwolves | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…8f96backed Timberwolves | 51c | 8,369$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Timberwolves | 50c | 8,000$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.99 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 50c | 6,500$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.46 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 6,152$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.22 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 6,028$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.15 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 5,880$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.39 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 5,685$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 5,294$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,999$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.7 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,312$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.88 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 4,257$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.99 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 4,060$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 3,972$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.19 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,615$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.5 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,542$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,135$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.85 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.97 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,843$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,579$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.1 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,512$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,250$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.94 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,200$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.1 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,920$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.28 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,905$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.22 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,772$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.33 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,733$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.45 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,617$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.7 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,599$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.35 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…8b22backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,364$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Timberwolves | 3c | 1,236$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,198$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.52 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb39…a1f6backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,194$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,070$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.44 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.29 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1135backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…19bcbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 968.87$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.68 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 907.82$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.17 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 867$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.17 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 864$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.64 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 862$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.62 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Timberwolves | 51c | 856.94$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.04 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 801.63$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.63 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -12.5wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 799.98$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.87 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 777$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.73 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 771.51$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.04 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves | 48c | 718.45$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.49 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 620.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.49 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail BlazersTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.