TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Timberwolves, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$874,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$884,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $874,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Trail Blazers49c507,731$251,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256,565.3487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Timberwolves51c155,404$79,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,256.261625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Trail Blazers51c70,000$35,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,299.9940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers49c69,712$34,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,552.982,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves49c65,404$32,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,047.921,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves50c60,282$30,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,138.335,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves50c58,889$29,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,301.031,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Timberwolves51c45,010$22,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,804.8476054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Timberwolves50c42,034$21,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,072.9152460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves50c41,499$20,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,780.774,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3619…a62fbacked Timberwolves51c30,004$15,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,3021353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves50c29,496$14,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,759.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Trail Blazers49c27,463$13,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,006.081,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Trail Blazers51c21,258$10,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,416.3744352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Timberwolves49c20,204$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077f…39e0backed Timberwolves51c17,522$8,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,936425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Timberwolves51c17,059$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,70021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Timberwolves51c16,471$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,40038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe65d…1417backed Timberwolves51c15,522$7,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,91630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers49c14,649$7,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,437.924,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6b…c15fbacked Timberwolves51c13,794$6,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,977.941675%12 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Trail Blazers50c12,331$6,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,218.7245850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves50c12,162$6,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,107.393,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Timberwolves51c11,353$5,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,79034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Timberwolves51c10,609$5,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,394.3221549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Timberwolves51c10,292$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Timberwolves50c9,959$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,979.748845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Trail Blazers51c9,816$5,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,774.8838251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Timberwolves51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d72…8f96backed Timberwolves51c8,369$4,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,267.96977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+46.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Timberwolves50c8,000$3,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.9919747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves50c6,500$3,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.461,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Trail Blazers49c6,500$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,314.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Timberwolves50c6,152$3,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.2295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Trail Blazers49c6,028$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.1514358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers51c5,880$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,881.391,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves49c5,685$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,771.969,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Timberwolves51c5,294$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Trail Blazers49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Trail Blazers49c4,999$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.718547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Timberwolves49c4,312$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.887759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Timberwolves51c4,257$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.9930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae84…fd9dbacked Timberwolves50c4,060$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0301650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Timberwolves50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9601,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Trail Blazers49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Trail Blazers55c3,972$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.1976850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Trail Blazers50c3,615$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves50c3,542$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7712,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves51c3,135$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.852,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.971,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Timberwolves51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Timberwolves51c2,843$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Timberwolves51c2,579$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.132150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves50c2,512$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.064,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Trail Blazers50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Timberwolves51c2,250$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9414640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves51c2,200$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.150653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Timberwolves51c2,200$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12225951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Timberwolves51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Trail Blazers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00041954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Trail Blazers49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers52c1,920$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.281,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves51c1,905$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.221,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Timberwolves50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90028448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves49c1,772$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.336,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers49c1,733$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.453,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Timberwolves52c1,617$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.758951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Timberwolves50c1,599$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.3531551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Timberwolves52c1,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x471d…8b22backed Timberwolves52c1,364$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.27837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Timberwolves3c1,236$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5427937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Trail Blazers51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58833146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Trail Blazers50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4113…e904backed Timberwolves50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005048%24 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed Timberwolves51c1,198$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.524151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb39…a1f6backed Trail Blazers50c1,194$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9684…16ecbacked Trail Blazers53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.083060%18 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Timberwolves50c1,070$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.441,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Timberwolves49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2918345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Trail Blazers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Trail Blazers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3290…1135backed Trail Blazers51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.391861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1622…19bcbacked Timberwolves51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Timberwolves51c968.87$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.6817454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Trail Blazers54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9335438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Timberwolves50c907.82$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.1730743%132 W · 175 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Timberwolves51c867$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.1731455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Timberwolves51c864$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.6447354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Trail Blazers49c862$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.6254443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Timberwolves51c856.94$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.041,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Trail Blazers52c801.63$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.638826.1%23 W · 65 L-12.5wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-36.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Trail Blazers50c799.98$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.8736045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Timberwolves49c777$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.7346145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves49c771.51$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.042,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves48c718.45$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.491,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Trail Blazers51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34312245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Trail Blazers50c620.98$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.4926149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Trail Blazers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.