TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba2b…122f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.03
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BIG vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ENCE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: magic vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.7%+$52.25
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs METANOIAGG (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group Abacked METANOIAGG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs WW Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Group Dbacked Pigeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+65.6%+$19.67
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs ASTRAL (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stagebacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$19.51
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+127.3%+$31.82
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.56
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Raphael Collignonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+80.1%+$24.02
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+143.9%+$21.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.15
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.