CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe15d0202ed08f9808a37ac40da62f46d6e431147b316b7027a40123010ddb279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 8Sinsof Pigeons, 8Sins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked 8Sins | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 758 | 57%432 W · 326 L | +49.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Pigeons | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Pigeons | 18c | 663.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Pigeons | 41c | 498.44$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.03 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Pigeons | 44c | 478.8$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.23 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Pigeons | 45c | 329.21$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked 8Sins | 58c | 255.33$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Pigeons | 33c | 227.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 8Sins | 72c | 225.57$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Pigeons | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 611 | 42.7%261 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…a300backed Pigeons | 59c | 187.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Pigeons | 48c | 134.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 367 | 34.1%125 W · 242 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked Pigeons | 47c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Pigeons | 45c | 115.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Pigeons | 43c | 89.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…f6a8backed Pigeons | 58c | 71.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed 8Sins | 33c | 69.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Pigeons | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…122fbacked Pigeons | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Pigeons | 25c | 46.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8b…46b0backed 8Sins | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Pigeons | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 843 | 43.3%365 W · 478 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Pigeons | 45c | 33.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Pigeons | 45c | 29.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed Pigeons | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked 8Sins | 63c | 17.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs 8Sins - Map 1 WinnerPigeons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.