TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ENCE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
fnaticof fnatic, ENCE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,616 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21ec…5348backed ENCE52c6,672$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,469.5872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked fnatic48c6,258$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,257.7525751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed ENCE56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24057358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked ENCE50c3,957$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.9727133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked ENCE55c3,761$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.1684454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed ENCE56c3,495$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.5284958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked fnatic44c3,333$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.484546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked fnatic48c2,994$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.091,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed ENCE55c2,847$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.9117249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked fnatic44c2,550$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.9920539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed fnatic49c2,478$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.4711240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ENCE54c2,447$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.895,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ENCE54c1,951$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.831,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed fnatic56c1,805$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.74158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed fnatic47c1,800$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95443933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed fnatic44c1,700$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.11,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed fnatic51c1,584$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.2938037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed ENCE56c1,193$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.0519549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed fnatic45c1,142$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.911046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed ENCE55c1,127$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.931,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic52c1,107$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.674,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed fnatic45c996.99$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.3416750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed fnatic45c934$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.75042%21 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed ENCE53c903.29$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.748636%31 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked ENCE55c770.6$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.8310945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed ENCE44c723.64$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32069635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked fnatic48c691.32$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed ENCE53c675$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.2517849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed ENCE42c657.36$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1752750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed fnatic46c621.6$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.259842.9%42 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed ENCE46c600$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.4278348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed fnatic45c584.44$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.448644.2%38 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked fnatic51c554.39$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.7635550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked fnatic47c513.98$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.1534943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed fnatic50c495.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.111538.3%44 W · 71 L-15.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed fnatic46c462.13$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.788053.8%43 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked ENCE53c454.45$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.0917042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed ENCE42c429.76$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5259343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa68f…4663backed fnatic46c413.94$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.231154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed ENCE49c412.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed ENCE50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed fnatic46c383.78$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.245,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked ENCE56c360.34$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.071,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked ENCE43c356.1$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.129352.7%49 W · 44 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed fnatic45c334.55$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1849549.5%47 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed fnatic45c333$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.6985446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x492d…2f04backed fnatic75c328.19$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed fnatic49c312.16$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9114137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed ENCE55c308.47$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9883543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic60c291.59$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.966,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed fnatic43c278.8$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9939258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed ENCE54c272.66$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7587244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed ENCE59c261.36$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf82c…0f6fbacked fnatic48c254.69$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.832948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked fnatic44c249.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14043640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed fnatic50c240.22$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9145244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked fnatic47c234.6$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.343951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x957f…8bb9backed ENCE41c234.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-75%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked fnatic46c227.53$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed fnatic46c218.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1924346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed fnatic47c212.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.841931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fd…40ebbacked fnatic44c208.68$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.861533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe56a…0edfbacked fnatic66c201.46$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.463748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed ENCE54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked fnatic45c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11125337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54ee…d75fbacked ENCE49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked fnatic47c193.03$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4848242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed ENCE54c184.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010442.3%44 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e7…7bd5backed fnatic44c184.09$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.091631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed ENCE55c183.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed fnatic44c182.8$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3732844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed ENCE54c181.8$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1716149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed fnatic58c175.02$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2395849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ce…e4b0backed fnatic49c170$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.72544%11 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99b0…da5cbacked fnatic54c164.86$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.452951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ENCE48c164.61$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.282,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed ENCE55c163.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9725045.2%113 W · 137 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda0e…7cd8backed fnatic51c161.76$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.261040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25fb…c07cbacked ENCE15c161.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed ENCE52c152.6$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.354759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked fnatic55c150.72$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.373,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed ENCE37c148.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.642,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9dde…5e80backed fnatic43c143.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.074339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed fnatic54c134.64$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.273847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc03d…07e1backed fnatic43c131.1$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.733847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed fnatic64c130.86$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.497034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc093…de0ebacked fnatic45c118.2$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.018447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed ENCE50c115.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.386144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe092…d209backed fnatic45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed ENCE45c110.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9519447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked fnatic45c106.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5146447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed fnatic46c104.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.285,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed ENCE49c102.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018837.2%70 W · 118 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked ENCE52c100.01$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7933539.4%132 W · 203 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked ENCE56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed fnatic43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5739237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed ENCE51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515952.5%31 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed fnatic50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5050340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked fnatic45c99.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4970038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed fnatic76c98.96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9631757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.