CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ENCE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe66f497a0205c2aedbe2815b5a71c1efbf627b505b35390aa8e301e1c78e1ce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, ENCE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,915 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed ENCE | 1c | 14,614$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ENCE | 68c | 2,164$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.47 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ENCE | 79c | 1,401$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.47 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed fnatic | 22c | 1,343$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.65 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ENCE | 62c | 1,251$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.75 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed fnatic | 51c | 517.39$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.87 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed fnatic | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed fnatic | 7c | 276$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.4 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked fnatic | 23c | 250$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed fnatic | 24c | 244.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…2d0bbacked ENCE | 18c | 239.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked fnatic | 11c | 235.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.54 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed fnatic | 11c | 223.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.59 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed ENCE | 23c | 215.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed ENCE | 33c | 205$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…da5cbacked ENCE | 70c | 194.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…f764backed fnatic | 65c | 138.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed fnatic | 12c | 129.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ENCE | 78c | 126.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked fnatic | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed ENCE | 20c | 54.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed fnatic | 23c | 52.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed fnatic | 21c | 52.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ENCE | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed ENCE | 27c | 43.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked ENCE | 48c | 42.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked fnatic | 30c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed ENCE | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed fnatic | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ENCE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ENCE - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.