CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ENCE - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aace6a825d92f0fad13d3703b73715c094062e3b3d335c239e91eaa41c7e4dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, ENCE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,292 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed fnatic | 46c | 1,268$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.74 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ENCE | 49c | 1,144$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.91 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…05d8backed fnatic | 55c | 553.05$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed ENCE | 43c | 522.68$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed ENCE | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed ENCE | 59c | 439.44$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.27 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked fnatic | 41c | 289.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…f435backed ENCE | 4c | 286.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f4…ba36backed fnatic | 79c | 244.06$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…895cbacked fnatic | 46c | 217.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ENCE | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed ENCE | 52c | 193.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed fnatic | 54c | 162.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ENCE | 45c | 159.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed fnatic | 48c | 153.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked fnatic | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic | 60c | 146.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ENCE | 53c | 131.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…da5cbacked fnatic | 48c | 110.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0e…7cd8backed ENCE | 64c | 104.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed fnatic | 59c | 100.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed fnatic | 55c | 87.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc296…0fdcbacked ENCE | 33c | 81.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ENCE | 37c | 77.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed fnatic | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked ENCE | 50c | 68.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed fnatic | 50c | 50.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked ENCE | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed fnatic | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…2d0bbacked fnatic | 38c | 36.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed fnatic | 39c | 33.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…5327backed ENCE | 64c | 31.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe04f…6faabacked fnatic | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ENCE - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ENCE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.