TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof Heroic, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$629,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$686,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $629,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Heroic56c140,000$78,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,399.9939249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Monte44c132,512$58,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,206.8822049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Heroic0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Monte66c40,728$27,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,710.9633043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Heroic33c30,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,899.95048%24 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b4…13c9backed Heroic21c20,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Monte70c19,387$13,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,733.963,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Heroic56c12,491$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000.371428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.3wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-45.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Monte53c9,173$4,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,284.0619834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Monte68c7,353$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.931464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8bd…1454backed Monte73c6,820$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Monte67c6,344$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.4464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Heroic8c6,061$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49632348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic20c5,425$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.762,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Monte61c5,413$3,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.324550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Monte67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6506553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Monte43c4,934$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.1215245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic18c4,785$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.257,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71dd…31ebbacked Monte73c4,546$3,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.542075%15 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+63.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Heroic21c4,485$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9473537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic34c4,462$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.766,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419f…2da0backed Monte76c4,461$3,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.034339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Monte44c4,444$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.6441649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Heroic32c4,200$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.262334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Heroic44c4,126$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80033960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Heroic32c4,013$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.1214144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Heroic34c3,772$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.2642142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Monte29c3,700$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.9916240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Heroic21c3,623$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.4818943.4%82 W · 107 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7f…70cdbacked Heroic1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353225%8 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Monte63c3,427$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.949153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Heroic34c3,410$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.415441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Heroic59c3,365$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked Monte62c3,163$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.6116448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf2…1a4ebacked Heroic34c3,100$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0544630.4%14 W · 32 L-9.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Monte52c3,023$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.4928248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Monte69c2,904$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.97766.2%51 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1deb…472fbacked Monte73c2,692$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7271070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacd9…cb54backed Heroic56c2,605$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Monte64c2,345$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.81,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa80…46c8backed Heroic55c2,342$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic48c2,342$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.021,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b60…82e5backed Monte44c2,327$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.112842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Monte67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.8112552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Monte44c2,208$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.2272453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Heroic46c2,192$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.711,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Heroic33c2,161$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.221546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Monte43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.9922448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Monte41c1,596$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.2124339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Monte61c1,560$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.61,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Monte80c1,543$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.575444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41cc…8c9dbacked Heroic12c1,521$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.83120%0 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed Heroic46c1,515$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70228344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Monte61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58584454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Heroic34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50055738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Monte68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.595565.5%36 W · 19 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+37%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xea49…434fbacked Monte71c1,455$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.4715057.3%86 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1646…8c61backed Monte71c1,454$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2cb…d235backed Heroic56c1,448$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.882437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Heroic33c1,412$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4661010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-81.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fbc…d6a4backed Heroic58c1,403$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.154266.7%28 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Heroic33c1,355$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.2261837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed Heroic46c1,210$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.2724262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Monte44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.9816653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Heroic33c1,167$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38524233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Heroic56c1,065$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcd…bb7ebacked Heroic1c1,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Heroic56c1,009$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.829646.9%45 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Monte44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5606744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Heroic32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked Heroic34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked Heroic34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Monte44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5606046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Heroic31c995.22$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31061754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffad…e00bbacked Monte73c946.9$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Heroic29c895.5$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.581,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Heroic56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Heroic26c883.23$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1447738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6867…f8d2backed Heroic34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Monte78c833.33$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3352837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x757a…70f6backed Heroic61c799.99$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Monte70c764.67$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.419549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Monte67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.271485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Monte68c735.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.292259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Monte44c732.96$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.951,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Heroic34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23825651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic44c690$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.483,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed Heroic22c687.65$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7158762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Monte75c643.8$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.3941069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Monte52c628.41$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.2712736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc983…ebf0backed Heroic32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed Heroic54c612.36$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.226944.9%31 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9b…44c3backed Heroic54c610.16$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.089540%38 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Monte47c589.74$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.7720238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Heroic57c584.74$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.352456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Heroic17c584.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed Monte44c579$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.244250%21 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Heroic40c575.29$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed Heroic44c563.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heroic36c547.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.361,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.