CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d091b6ecf08af05dea316ced86ac577d6711ce65a19571bc7c4fc16afce96eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36d8…ef63backed Under | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked Over | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed Over | 49c | 435$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.15 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed Under | 50c | 435$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed Over | 49c | 425$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed Under | 51c | 425$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Under | 49c | 392.16$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 50c | 294.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Over | 52c | 121.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 87.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…65c5backed Under | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…8b98backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Monte won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerMonte won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.