TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof Heroic, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4fe9…706abacked Monte59c15,524$9,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,354.9816448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic40c9,696$3,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,867.113,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Heroic48c8,693$4,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,206.89153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Heroic38c8,097$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,056.4824550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Heroic62c2,542$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.982166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Monte46c1,349$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.127,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Monte47c1,303$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.374,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Monte50c1,285$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.2114144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Heroic3c1,061$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed Monte63c1,033$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.597546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Heroic61c1,010$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.912446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Heroic23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d2…1b03backed Heroic54c927.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006233.9%21 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe46a…f06abacked Heroic19c895.64$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.613043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Monte52c769.62$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.6218049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Heroic26c764.09$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20269635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Monte67c592.64$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6445058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee4…6d32backed Monte17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.241811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Heroic40c555.06$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0220942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Monte69c509.8$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.819355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Monte58c506.02$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9652947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Heroic25c500$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.831,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Monte53c500$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23726451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Heroic17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5655043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Monte60c498.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.227950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a06…cf08backed Monte62c486.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.546651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Monte66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5566753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic34c439.16$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.611,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Heroic45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18019642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x022d…d8cebacked Heroic55c360.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017050%85 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Monte54c347.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.946,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Heroic40c320$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12883443.6%364 W · 470 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Monte76c310$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.713845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Heroic40c305.63$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.032646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Heroic40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12052750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Monte34c250$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16521528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Heroic35c232.47$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.499243.5%40 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Heroic67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13412742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc78…a301backed Heroic51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10211543.5%50 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Heroic32c193.51$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Heroic63c179.88$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4126443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe4…cf6ebacked Heroic56c178.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte40c166.46$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.855,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked Heroic34c155.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.926060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Heroic49c155.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.261,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7433…c66cbacked Heroic42c151.5$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.632166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+50.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Heroic55c125.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.44165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Heroic42c125.18$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.731,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Monte43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2818347.5%87 W · 96 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Heroic41c102.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.438844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Heroic40c101.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4112348%59 W · 64 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Heroic35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3563541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Monte14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868150.6%41 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Heroic32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3269624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Monte53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4731852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Monte68c98.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.241,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Heroic35c96.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3511241.1%46 W · 66 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Monte42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.451949.1%255 W · 264 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Heroic61c79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1995649.7%475 W · 481 L-18.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Heroic18c77.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.935427.8%15 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed Monte48c68.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.414953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Monte58c66.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.928254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Heroic46c59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2413657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed Heroic28c57.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1720732.4%67 W · 140 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Monte64c56.31$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.271,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked Heroic69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.56642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Monte31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.517857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Monte71c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.67766.2%51 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Heroic35c46.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0743239.1%169 W · 263 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8450…ae44backed Monte42c44.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Heroic66c42.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.19843.9%43 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Heroic44c42.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4662350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Monte40c36.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.244776.6%36 W · 11 L+9.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+35%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xfc16…40c9backed Monte31c34.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.092352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Heroic33c34.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3225416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b9d…ddf8backed Monte35c34.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.142634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…727fbacked Monte45c26.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.2wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+78.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2e3d…78e5backed Heroic57c25.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Monte60c25.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2339970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Monte50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.549947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b3a…aaa2backed Monte68c20.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5918044.4%80 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Heroic67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.424440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Monte64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6356454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.