TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-02-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c11,679$5,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,480.2319239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes45c11,602$5,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,427.9412736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c6,073$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,398.963,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c6,056$3,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,365.291,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c3,914$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.945,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c3,854$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.122,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No55c2,317$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.6629747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No55c2,241$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24310155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes44c1,408$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.4412541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No15c1,024$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.121132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5609651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No13c999.43$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9316543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Yes56c845.16$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.871050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa43…22f3backed Yes45c805.56$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.9944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c668.11$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.61,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No55c637.82$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.1812741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.189256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes58c560.73$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes51c558.92$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.941,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x890b…6afebacked Yes56c532.5$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+127.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No55c522.77$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.0781651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5576951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No39c451.24$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.581,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22421849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a42…2a7ebacked Yes55c358.72$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fca…5f02backed No18c356.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.72532%8 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed Yes44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.914242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.517055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.521251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c246.64$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.961,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.275660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Yes59c202.61$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825945.8%27 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No45c181.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8249449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed No56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes71c175.34$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.344456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked No23c154.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No38c153.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.021,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.511459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No55c135$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8b…e16abacked Yes55c134.74$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes65c133$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.817436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed No20c128.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.26448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No56c121$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7617946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e1…8720backed Yes62c120.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.85366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No55c115$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.257856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No55c112$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.65160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No32c110$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.310160.4%61 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No39c103.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.478452.4%44 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb79…91b5backed No29c99.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd629…1e72backed Yes43c91.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.15234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.113041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.57055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked No57c86.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.492962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked No57c86.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.471850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes67c80.12$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4418140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b02…ae87backed Yes65c77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No55c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.255752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes46c66.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2411637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes63c66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.611334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No55c61.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.751662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335560%33 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335151%26 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4213…6940backed Yes60c58.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9716041.3%66 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.825648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Yes48c56.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.252462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No46c50.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.383,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.56558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d7…7c97backed No57c42.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.011353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked No55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Yes54c39.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.395846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5358…44e8backed No39c38.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154450%22 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Yes66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+57.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2682…5141backed Yes54c35.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef5e…4c1dbacked Yes42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf7d…f470backed Yes55c35.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed No57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x677f…1c6ebacked No57c34.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.791258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No57c34.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3823542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes60c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6817542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No45c30.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54163.4%26 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba2b…122fbacked Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.