South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa67a2730e5c8c64f29a8f68ae97037d4ccaf967d357e23e5383ecaa94890f3d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 29c | 1,306$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.54 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 937.23$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.8 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 71c | 868.22$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.4 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 30c | 722.39$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 673$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 9c | 528.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 10c | 492.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 254.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 5c | 214.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 213.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 9c | 156$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 155.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 154.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 139.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 29c | 67.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Yes | 23c | 58.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ef…6431backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Yes | 35c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…dd01backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Yes | 47c | 37.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 28.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-02-25?No won
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-02-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.