NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece8eb800e47471040918a24fe0a1cdaec640418abc64845bda2b13239ae94ac

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved: Mar 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,325,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,469,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,325,257 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons	57c	162,448$92,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92,595.35	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Pistons	57c	154,499$88,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88,064.47	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pistons	0c	126,586$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.59	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Cavaliers	43c	122,733$52,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,957.56	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Cavaliers	43c	116,279$50,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66,279.03	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Cavaliers	43c	101,576$43,678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,898.29	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Pistons	58c	94,610$54,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,873.86	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons	56c	82,838$46,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,153.6	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers	43c	82,374$35,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,674	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Pistons	57c	75,000$42,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,750	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Pistons	56c	57,289$31,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,967.32	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae4…e479backed Pistons	58c	51,854$30,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,126.24	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	45c	40,233$18,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,140.62	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Cavaliers	44c	34,999$15,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,699.45	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Pistons	58c	34,483$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	95	31.6%30 W · 65 L	-11.6wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Pistons	57c	30,000$17,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,100	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	42c	28,292$11,987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,305.55	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Cavaliers	42c	28,272$12,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,265.19	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Pistons	47c	27,000$12,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,689.98	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Pistons	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Cavaliers	42c	25,000$10,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,499.99	187	47.1%88 W · 99 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Cavaliers	43c	24,127$10,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,752.42	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons	57c	24,036$13,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,636.18	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons	37c	23,900$8,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,876.3	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons	19c	23,453$4,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,467.23	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Pistons	46c	23,057$10,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,698.96	117	37.6%44 W · 73 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers	61c	22,084$13,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,523.74	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Cavaliers	43c	20,592$8,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,737.44	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Cavaliers	43c	20,327$8,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,680.74	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers	43c	20,093$8,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,450	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pistons	23c	20,000$4,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,599.99	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Cavaliers	45c	19,200$8,690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,510	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Pistons	55c	19,200$10,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,509.75	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b2…f6e2backed Cavaliers	44c	19,041$8,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,753.8	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons	19c	18,493$3,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,586.57	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Pistons	41c	17,400$7,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,087.15	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+80.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Cavaliers	61c	15,984$9,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,233.85	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers	60c	15,685$9,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,197.31	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd744…526fbacked Pistons	57c	15,420$8,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,789.65	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers	75c	15,175$11,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,748.68	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Cavaliers	72c	13,803$9,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,817.71	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons	39c	13,609$5,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,285.92	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Cavaliers	45c	13,500$6,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,425	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Pistons	55c	13,500$7,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,424.96	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Pistons	38c	13,333$5,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,066.54	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers	45c	13,038$5,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,171.06	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Pistons	58c	12,875$7,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,420.72	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Pistons	33c	12,498$4,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,067.09	172	46.5%80 W · 92 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pistons	33c	12,379$4,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,109.49	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Cavaliers	43c	11,628$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,627.91	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons	31c	11,501$3,529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,528.82	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Pistons	57c	11,500$6,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,555	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Pistons	23c	11,474$2,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,654.74	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Cavaliers	43c	11,436$4,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,539.15	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Pistons	22c	11,203$2,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,420.25	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Pistons	12c	10,773$1,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254.03	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Cavaliers	42c	10,500$4,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,089.98	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Cavaliers	55c	10,459$5,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,684.98	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Cavaliers	75c	10,393$7,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,556.64	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Pistons	40c	10,353$4,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,138.77	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Pistons	0c	10,317$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Pistons	60c	10,017$5,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,984.7	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons	23c	10,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Cavaliers	47c	10,000$4,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,279.97	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Cavaliers	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,599.82	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed7c…d596backed Cavaliers	43c	9,998$4,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,699.02	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+84.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Cavaliers	52c	9,817$5,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,712.16	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27dd…c66abacked Pistons	57c	9,500$5,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,414.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Cavaliers	44c	9,242$4,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,175.48	139	59.7%83 W · 56 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Cavaliers	43c	9,174$3,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,183.89	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Pistons	31c	9,021$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70e8…f9a2backed Pistons	57c	8,922$5,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,085.7	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e4…5017backed Cavaliers	43c	8,763$3,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,994.66	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+132.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Pistons	58c	8,620$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.6	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers	44c	8,027$3,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,483.39	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc740…522fbacked Pistons	51c	7,889$4,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,047.43	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Pistons	26c	7,694$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cavaliers	66c	7,515$4,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,567.07	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons	56c	7,479$4,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,192.05	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…627bbacked Pistons	31c	7,350$2,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,290	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Pistons	42c	7,161$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	310	44.8%139 W · 171 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers	43c	6,977$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,976.74	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pistons	1c	6,908$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.08	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons	56c	6,750$3,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,760.65	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers	60c	6,700$4,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,696.55	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pistons	54c	6,610$3,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,569.56	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Pistons	53c	6,549$3,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,470.84	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Cavaliers	44c	6,540$2,877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,662.25	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Pistons	48c	6,399$3,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,099.31	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Cavaliers	61c	6,398$3,892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,505.88	278	65.8%183 W · 95 L	+25.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Cavaliers	44c	6,346$2,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,553.76	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Cavaliers	67c	6,247$4,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,084.82	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pistons	38c	6,060$2,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,283.22	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e76…ef4ebacked Cavaliers	44c	6,000$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,360	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Pistons	34c	5,700$1,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950.65	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons	46c	5,615$2,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,586.15	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…a06dbacked Pistons	57c	5,500$3,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,134.84	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers	43c	5,480$2,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,123.6	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers	59c	5,428$3,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,212.87	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Cavaliers	40c	5,356$2,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,217.03	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pistons vs. Cavaliersthis page
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5No won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 16.5No won
Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event