NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d37196687809667c9b089b26f10f0d44860c01db0a4abb54c53430eaa53d0ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $789,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $862,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $789,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 52c | 352,265$183,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,177.81 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 48c | 235,129$112,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,266.9 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 110,283$54,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,244.13 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons | 51c | 57,635$29,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,600 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 49,769$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,769.49 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 48c | 43,616$20,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,680.22 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cavaliers | 49c | 42,221$20,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,532.88 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Pistons | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pistons | 51c | 30,633$15,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,619.76 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 23,447$11,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,192.44 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 22,790$10,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,850.87 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 20,850$10,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,842 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Pistons | 52c | 12,604$6,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,554.02 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 50c | 11,175$5,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,612 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pistons | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…3293backed Pistons | 51c | 9,764$4,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 9,466$4,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,827.84 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Pistons | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Pistons | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 51c | 7,164$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.75 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Pistons | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.31 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Pistons | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Pistons | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Pistons | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.93 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pistons | 51c | 3,438$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.37 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Cavaliers | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cavaliers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pistons | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pistons | 51c | 2,141$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.91 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…a4d2backed Pistons | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,867$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.13 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,813$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.17 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,522$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.05 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,498$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.94 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,377$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.64 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,275$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.25 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,163$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.85 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Pistons | 52c | 1,064$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 998.76$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.7 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Pistons | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Cavaliers | 50c | 980$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 31c | 878.46$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Cavaliers | 50c | 833$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 780.78$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 780.5$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Pistons | 51c | 749.02$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers | 49c | 650$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Pistons | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Pistons | 51c | 523.8$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 65c | 519.21$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.65 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Pistons | 52c | 510.64$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.52 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…270ebacked Pistons | 51c | 499.04$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Cavaliers | 50c | 423.9$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Cavaliers | 49c | 405.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.82 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Pistons | 51c | 392.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Pistons | 52c | 386.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 41c | 363.89$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Pistons | 33c | 302.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Pistons | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Pistons | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Cavaliers | 48c | 288.26$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.89 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cavaliers | 48c | 250$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.17 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 49c | 243$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 50c | 232.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Pistons | 31c | 207.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Cavaliers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pistons | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Pistons | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Cavaliers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 182.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Pistons | 52c | 174.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed Cavaliers | 49c | 173.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Cavaliers | 49c | 168.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 166.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…467cbacked Pistons | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cavaliers | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Pistons | 51c | 159.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 150.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Cavaliers | 54c | 146.16$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Cavaliers | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Pistons | 51c | 132.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Pistons | 41c | 131.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Pistons | 52c | 127.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Pistons | 51c | 122.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons | 16c | 120.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 119.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Cavaliers | 50c | 112.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Pistons | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Pistons | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Pistons | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.