NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd36253b4925e68d3d7c81c3dfc0eaf5c3352bdcf7013669cff5b7fd06c1e7ae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.98 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 30,000$14,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,820.04 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Over | 48c | 19,400$9,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,312 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Over | 49c | 15,918$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 12,564$6,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,238.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 50c | 10,978$5,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 51c | 9,455$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.84 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…ea04backed Over | 49c | 6,663$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 48c | 5,145$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 3c | 3,700$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 2,982$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 2,567$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.42 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 52c | 2,345$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.6 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6067…5aa2backed Over | 50c | 2,340$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…620cbacked Over | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 51c | 2,155$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 2,137$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.07 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 1,883$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.71 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 31c | 1,658$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 49c | 1,640$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.89 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 51c | 1,578$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +9.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 1,119$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.12 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 57c | 996.72$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.59 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 994.75$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.8 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Over | 50c | 976.2$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.1 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 52c | 961.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.52 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 36c | 809.46$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.73 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 735.25$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 696.3$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.34 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 50c | 648.9$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.45 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 515.08$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.24 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 497.83$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.91 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 49c | 491.74$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.95 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Over | 50c | 399.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 51c | 392.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Over | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 335$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Over | 49c | 289.92$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.06 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 206.91$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 51c | 195.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 51c | 105.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 51c | 99.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 80.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Under | 50c | 79.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…cd74backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed Over | 51c | 72.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 47.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Under | 51c | 38.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 63c | 36.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 31c | 34.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 48c | 33.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 45c | 33.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 60c | 30.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 61c | 29.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Under | 52c | 26.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Over | 43c | 25.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Over | 41c | 24.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 47c | 21.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 77c | 20.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5this page
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.