NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x406ad05312007fe81b9ffd87de4dade5511426a2e9ebfbafa0223d64a601eb27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf392…0d59backed Cavaliers | 46c | 24,621$11,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,295.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…e28abacked Pistons | 54c | 24,600$13,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,284 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 45c | 19,012$8,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,506.22 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons | 56c | 17,865$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pistons | 55c | 17,500$9,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,624.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 65c | 13,490$8,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,660.25 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 48c | 9,042$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Cavaliers | 45c | 6,193$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.33 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 6,060$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Cavaliers | 45c | 5,410$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.74 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pistons | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 4,743$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 4,200$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.99 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 28c | 3,919$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 53c | 3,216$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b0…0b70backed Cavaliers | 46c | 3,001$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Pistons | 53c | 2,768$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.9 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…9aa8backed Pistons | 54c | 2,748$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 54c | 2,491$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.07 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pistons | 55c | 1,796$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.75 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…09c5backed Pistons | 54c | 1,752$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,635$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.25 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Pistons | 56c | 1,616$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,538$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…19f8backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,499$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Pistons | 56c | 1,362$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…f89ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Pistons | 52c | 976.65$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.86 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Cavaliers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 936.17$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.17 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Pistons | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Pistons | 55c | 909.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Cavaliers | 46c | 808.7$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.7 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 46c | 749.06$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.89 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 54c | 699.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa401…1dafbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 676$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Cavaliers | 45c | 670$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Cavaliers | 45c | 660.4$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.22 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…1d24backed Cavaliers | 50c | 578$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…7318backed Pistons | 50c | 571$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Pistons | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…d888backed Cavaliers | 50c | 546$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Pistons | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187e…29cdbacked Pistons | 50c | 539$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…b890backed Cavaliers | 50c | 536$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…5ac8backed Pistons | 50c | 518$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fed…394fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 502$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Pistons | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…2bb7backed Pistons | 55c | 490.91$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…21fcbacked Pistons | 50c | 488$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…6fd2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 482$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…74e5backed Pistons | 50c | 476$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…6783backed Cavaliers | 50c | 468$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e69…62bbbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 466$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…bad4backed Pistons | 50c | 463$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Pistons | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…8935backed Pistons | 50c | 448$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1020…c4e3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 421$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pistons | 55c | 417.57$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.67 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…e7fbbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 413$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…26b7backed Pistons | 50c | 408$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers | 45c | 390$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pistons | 55c | 362.32$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Cavaliers | 65c | 326.15$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…9971backed Pistons | 50c | 321$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 307.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.87 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cavaliers | 45c | 302.29$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.26 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pistons | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pistons | 35c | 243.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 242.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons | 55c | 227.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Pistons | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 52c | 201.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d2…3821backed Pistons | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Pistons | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Pistons | 56c | 170$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Cavaliers | 53c | 168$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Cavaliers | 45c | 157$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Pistons | 56c | 146.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9e…790abacked Cavaliers | 46c | 131$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Pistons | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Pistons | 34c | 119.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Cavaliers | 45c | 119$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…98f5backed Pistons | 15c | 117$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 115.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Cavaliers | 47c | 114$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Cavaliers | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pistons | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 96.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Cavaliers | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 62c | 83.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)this page
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.