NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x745cbc865f67a5560af1cfb3c7a94d7976a5427c0a2cd13a2e2095bf9b6a26d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Over | 55c | 137,092$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 45c | 93,075$41,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,191.12 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 15,794$7,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,419.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 10,683$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 47c | 9,455$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,011.15 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 48c | 8,314$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.28 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 5c | 7,574$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.15 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.98 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 5,787$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 3,944$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.72 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 48c | 2,345$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.4 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 53c | 2,278$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.67 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 2,250$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 2,231$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.44 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 48c | 2,052$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.03 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 2,026$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.19 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 49c | 1,839$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.73 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 1,244$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.2 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 46c | 1,036$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.74 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 863.37$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.84 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Under | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +9.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 77c | 828.54$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.35 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 47c | 800$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…40babacked Under | 54c | 749$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3d…8088backed Over | 46c | 697$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 23c | 645.34$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…6be6backed Under | 49c | 617.27$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 583$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.16 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 3c | 528.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 48c | 506$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.72 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 6c | 491$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 490$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.94 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 53c | 438$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.86 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…4197backed Over | 46c | 384$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…679bbacked Over | 46c | 365$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…584cbacked Under | 54c | 355$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…f701backed Under | 54c | 342$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 339.32$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.26 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 46c | 335.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.09 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 10c | 315.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 49c | 306.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Under | 48c | 295.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 22c | 263.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 60c | 253.85$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 242.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1659…a47bbacked Under | 52c | 242.04$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 10c | 240$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 239.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 47c | 236.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 38c | 236.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…270ebacked Over | 48c | 212.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…b373backed Over | 48c | 205.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…e05cbacked Under | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 46c | 199$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d0…2b50backed Under | 52c | 176.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 172.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Under | 48c | 158.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 40c | 148.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 30c | 148.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 52c | 147.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 10c | 138.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 131.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…4ab2backed Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 17c | 127$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 27c | 110.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 28c | 109.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 104.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 102.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 36c | 97.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 72c | 96.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 95.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…4b91backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 41c | 83.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 76.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…cc8cbacked Under | 75c | 66.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 47c | 62.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 63c | 56.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…9dbabacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Over | 43c | 46.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over | 33c | 43.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 43.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 26c | 39.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…dd7bbacked Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed Over | 32c | 38.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Under | 51c | 38.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5this page
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.