TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869f…7a8bbacked Over52c9,960$5,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,152.714052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c7,947$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,229.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Over55c6,600$3,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6304654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under61c2,562$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.292,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under45c2,345$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.7521446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Over52c2,260$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.7727052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under48c2,045$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.31,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over55c1,933$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.389742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c1,735$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c1,576$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.014,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c1,511$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.32,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70024450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c1,334$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,315$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a58…bcf7backed Over55c1,300$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Under45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.114143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,018$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.075,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe878…8a5cbacked Under50c934$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70a7…51c7backed Over50c934$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8003…efaabacked Over50c832$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over56c795.88$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.456,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0d…76f0backed Under50c784$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2520…93bcbacked Over50c758$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe509…106abacked Over50c758$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x126b…c766backed Under50c702$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd006…6449backed Under50c670$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c617.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.683,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x516a…fbabbacked Over50c608$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3858…3770backed Under50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a2…3464backed Over50c581$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x291e…7276backed Under50c560$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a9…bd5dbacked Over50c523$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over56c515$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.420741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c501.69$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.91,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55df…0fdabacked Under50c482$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Under46c477.65$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.939352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cfe…7058backed Over50c464$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…6a0abacked Under50c453$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x394f…37f2backed Under50c448$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3990…07a1backed Under50c447$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3753…49cbbacked Over50c418$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfc…7d69backed Under50c409$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f80…1279backed Over50c407$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa8…c342backed Over50c405$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3352146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under47c305.1$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over53c260.09$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.852,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Over55c243.02$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.666953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under61c230.73$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2243447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03d9…fe29backed Under50c218$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f26…33d1backed Over53c213.89$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.361127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1422…0b5ebacked Under51c207.5$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dac…cf62backed Over50c207.5$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10226048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf318…1b48backed Under48c196.97$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.424100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+85.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45a2…be25backed Under48c195.26$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.541060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under53c192.62$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6915543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under47c188$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.641,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3f5…b09cbacked Over53c178.34$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under46c174.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0735843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over47c169.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8915543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under51c165.12$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.591,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c154.66$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under46c149.53$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2212552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under58c139.4$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3339552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c131.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.22,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under51c120.19$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.93,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed Over56c119.66$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.011428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-52.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over55c110$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3864…857fbacked Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.713957.6%80 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c107.14$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.571,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5439435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d5…dd7bbacked Under49c98.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.281770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over53c91.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.151,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.255846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over55c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.256344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Over29c65.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0223047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under46c63.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5114533.1%48 W · 97 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Under48c63.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9720949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7356…b839backed Over53c50.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.71450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under58c49.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.573,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under55c41.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5116867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over35c40.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1110028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…1f3bbacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under47c34.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3911850%59 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c34.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.555,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7a…3997backed Over50c33.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over41c33.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6188057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under48c30.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.641,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Over38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46248.4%30 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under57c29.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8245452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under62c29.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1955751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under71c28.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.292,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under75c23.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8433159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.