CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0256c525eb957e55c39acc0f5340d36b4397cc5ecb9c3c3a5ff892253529075f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed FlyQuest | 49c | 106,435$52,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,152.95 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Heroic | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,000 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked FlyQuest | 49c | 23,918$11,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,659.24 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Heroic | 58c | 22,845$13,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,605.69 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic | 50c | 12,565$6,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,227.55 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Heroic | 50c | 11,968$5,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,018.05 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked FlyQuest | 28c | 8,169$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.89 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed FlyQuest | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed FlyQuest | 50c | 4,567$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.82 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Heroic | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.99 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked FlyQuest | 49c | 3,521$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.5 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed FlyQuest | 51c | 3,300$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.98 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Heroic | 53c | 3,080$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.99 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked FlyQuest | 52c | 2,881$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Heroic | 67c | 2,505$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.79 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Heroic | 50c | 2,252$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.89 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Heroic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Heroic | 50c | 1,980$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.32 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed FlyQuest | 51c | 1,955$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Heroic | 49c | 1,890$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.8 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 73c | 1,705$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FlyQuest | 44c | 1,611$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Heroic | 49c | 1,610$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.2 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FlyQuest | 25c | 1,606$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.16 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FlyQuest | 29c | 1,509$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heroic | 54c | 1,216$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.44 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed FlyQuest | 38c | 1,072$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.84 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 69c | 1,043$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.96 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed FlyQuest | 49c | 1,004$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.98 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Heroic | 48c | 1,002$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.39 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic | 54c | 1,000$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.44 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked FlyQuest | 15c | 898.01$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 47c | 887.89$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.48 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Heroic | 49c | 851.1$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…b1a9backed FlyQuest | 16c | 830.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 52c | 825.99$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.58 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed FlyQuest | 51c | 813.2$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.6 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Heroic | 48c | 699.6$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.79 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Heroic | 50c | 690$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…e932backed FlyQuest | 23c | 653.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Heroic | 49c | 621.2$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.02 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Heroic | 50c | 614$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Heroic | 49c | 613.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.48 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed FlyQuest | 48c | 515$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.34 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FlyQuest | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked FlyQuest | 49c | 491$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked FlyQuest | 48c | 489$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.02 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f3…0fe9backed FlyQuest | 53c | 471.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa44…b825backed Heroic | 51c | 462.75$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked FlyQuest | 48c | 462$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.37 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Heroic | 69c | 455.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.65 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed FlyQuest | 22c | 454.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Heroic | 51c | 451.12$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Heroic | 48c | 446.44$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.92 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Heroic | 52c | 428.26$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.06 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FlyQuest | 11c | 426.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FlyQuest | 6c | 425$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed FlyQuest | 25c | 413.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Heroic | 75c | 410.67$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 409.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Heroic | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed FlyQuest | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed FlyQuest | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Heroic | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Heroic | 49c | 394.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.71 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…58efbacked Heroic | 49c | 394$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.94 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x962f…ad3bbacked FlyQuest | 51c | 391.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…8c14backed Heroic | 51c | 387.97$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Heroic | 50c | 386.04$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.36 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…a0b7backed FlyQuest | 47c | 385.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.49 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked FlyQuest | 53c | 379.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Heroic | 69c | 367.24$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed FlyQuest | 47c | 360$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.24 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Heroic | 71c | 351.04$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Heroic | 49c | 320.04$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.22 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Heroic | 49c | 306$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FlyQuest | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed FlyQuest | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Heroic | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Heroic | 48c | 299.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.72 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Heroic | 51c | 270$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…2335backed FlyQuest | 50c | 254.6$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked FlyQuest | 25c | 239.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…2872backed Heroic | 59c | 237.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Heroic | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Heroic | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95f…ae73backed FlyQuest | 51c | 211.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Heroic | 68c | 211$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Heroic | 49c | 207.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Heroic | 67c | 205$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Heroic | 67c | 205$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Heroic | 50c | 201.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Heroic | 49c | 200.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.61 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Heroic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Heroic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Heroic | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.61 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed Heroic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed FlyQuest | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FlyQuest | 16c | 199.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.