CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051cc7ea0cbaf50198abf7c91a7867f52cef41e7760ab4c93c30677ae7f4d98f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked FlyQuest | 47c | 11,132$5,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.51 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Heroic | 59c | 4,412$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.91 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed FlyQuest | 42c | 2,836$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.68 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Heroic | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Heroic | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 59c | 1,209$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.87 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 47c | 1,154$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.62 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Heroic | 78c | 1,028$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.85 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heroic | 60c | 1,027$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.98 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FlyQuest | 41c | 873$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.82 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 54c | 871.4$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.84 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 60c | 743$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.76 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked FlyQuest | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FlyQuest | 29c | 626.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.06 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FlyQuest | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FlyQuest | 29c | 467.71$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed Heroic | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Heroic | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 69c | 338.21$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Heroic | 57c | 335$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Heroic | 60c | 334$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 47c | 318.24$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Heroic | 74c | 269.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked FlyQuest | 46c | 265$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed FlyQuest | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Heroic | 61c | 247.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8eadbacked FlyQuest | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Heroic | 45c | 185.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed FlyQuest | 36c | 185$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FlyQuest | 22c | 161.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Heroic | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed FlyQuest | 37c | 116$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked FlyQuest | 20c | 113.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked FlyQuest | 38c | 103$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed FlyQuest | 45c | 102.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked FlyQuest | 40c | 102.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed FlyQuest | 43c | 101.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked Heroic | 49c | 101.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Heroic | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked FlyQuest | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Heroic | 63c | 95.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed FlyQuest | 35c | 83.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Heroic | 49c | 81.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked Heroic | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed FlyQuest | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…d83bbacked Heroic | 54c | 65.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Heroic | 58c | 62.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FlyQuest | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Heroic | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed FlyQuest | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Heroic | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed FlyQuest | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…faafbacked Heroic | 48c | 41.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed FlyQuest | 37c | 40.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Heroic | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed Heroic | 50c | 34.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Heroic | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…baeebacked Heroic | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Heroic | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Heroic | 76c | 21.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…d632backed Heroic | 62c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40b…31b9backed Heroic | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…cebcbacked Heroic | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.