CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x057d3f18fa681378859d30f93c704660ce287d7fac35c9f251d13b4a8ef108c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x605c…e932backed Heroic | 55c | 483.34$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FlyQuest | 64c | 462.22$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.11 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Heroic | 50c | 393.68$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.85 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed FlyQuest | 53c | 375.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed FlyQuest | 49c | 365$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.13 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3acfbacked Heroic | 67c | 227.56$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 55c | 210.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FlyQuest | 52c | 174.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FlyQuest | 48c | 169.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 48c | 167.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked FlyQuest | 47c | 164.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FlyQuest | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Heroic | 51c | 137.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic | 42c | 122.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FlyQuest | 43c | 121$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Heroic | 36c | 117.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Heroic | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Heroic | 29c | 97.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…1501backed FlyQuest | 38c | 93.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FlyQuest | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec36…78bbbacked Heroic | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Heroic | 56c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FlyQuest | 44c | 63.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed FlyQuest | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Heroic | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…2580backed Heroic | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…bf13backed Heroic | 42c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed FlyQuest | 42c | 46.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Heroic | 50c | 44.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Heroic | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked FlyQuest | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed FlyQuest | 42c | 25.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.