CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x836850641328e8e0d3b0b5168951886e2079306e2a0f6bee23d6402f6130ddfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,372,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,372,853 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 813 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 79,189$47,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,826.31 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Legacy | 47c | 67,064$31,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,472.35 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Legacy | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.98 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Legacy | 41c | 46,393$18,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,960.13 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 41,954$29,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,064.91 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed Legacy | 37c | 32,858$12,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,268.89 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Legacy | 33c | 31,479$10,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,266.18 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed Legacy | 0c | 28,510$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 22,728$12,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,681.97 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 22,500$13,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,149.99 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…2d0bbacked Legacy | 0c | 21,640$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Legacy | 40c | 21,267$8,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,506.66 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 20,148$15,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,201.95 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 65cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…eb13backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 15,324$8,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,456.14 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 15,058$7,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,770.09 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Legacy | 33c | 14,707$4,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,868.07 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 14,453$7,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,538.26 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 13,471$8,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.74 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Legacy | 42c | 12,779$5,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,342 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Legacy | 41c | 12,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Legacy | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,519.97 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…ccb1backed Legacy | 46c | 11,929$5,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,536.52 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Legacy | 40c | 11,000$4,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.07 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 10,074$5,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.88 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Legacy | 44c | 10,033$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.26 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 10,000$5,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.99 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f91dbacked Legacy | 3c | 9,222$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.07 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 7,419$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.27 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 7,264$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.64 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Legacy | 27c | 7,258$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.89 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 7,217$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.64 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…e59bbacked Legacy | 30c | 7,049$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Legacy | 32c | 6,705$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.35 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 6,642$4,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.18 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Legacy | 36c | 6,488$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.12 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy | 30c | 6,427$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.77 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 6,123$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.62 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 6,036$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.42 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Legacy | 46c | 5,893$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.98 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 5,533$3,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.86 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Legacy | 46c | 5,148$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 5,101$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.57 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Legacy | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 4,872$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.73 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 4,795$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.89 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Legacy | 47c | 4,668$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.98 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 4,600$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Legacy | 55c | 4,568$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.26 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 4,199$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.19 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 3,927$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.96 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fa…c7e1backed Legacy | 21c | 3,835$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.35 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Legacy | 40c | 3,710$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.38 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 3,628$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.05 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy | 40c | 3,610$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.15 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 3,372$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Legacy | 41c | 3,367$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.61 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 3,356$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.96 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 3,307$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.86 | 143 | 63.6%91 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Legacy | 46c | 3,280$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.8 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 3,162$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.77 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 3,085$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.69 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 3,000$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.99 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Legacy | 36c | 3,000$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.8 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Legacy | 38c | 2,952$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 2,931$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.54 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e7…be52backed Legacy | 42c | 2,860$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 2,705$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.79 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy | 39c | 2,606$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.78 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 2,547$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.81 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Legacy | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 2,500$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.83 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,472$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.4 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…1fafbacked Legacy | 34c | 2,209$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.5 | 190 | 22.6%43 W · 147 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Legacy | 24c | 2,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Legacy | 46c | 2,175$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.48 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 2,159$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.81 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Legacy | 44c | 2,140$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.45 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Legacy | 25c | 2,137$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.02 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Legacy | 47c | 2,126$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Legacy | 50c | 2,049$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.62 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Legacy | 25c | 2,038$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.5 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Legacy | 40c | 2,002$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.76 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…a644backed Legacy | 55c | 2,000$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Legacy | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…2c4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,900$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Legacy | 29c | 1,828$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.16 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,820$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.6 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.94 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Legacy | 22c | 1,780$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Legacy | 40c | 1,758$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.01 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.