CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8664f6c4525cbb4897ae8179273397e0f8cb4f2853fbd0d66eb69c860db22484
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $554,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,760 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf12a…f637backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 14,243$10,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,376.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Legacy | 18c | 11,111$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.02 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Legacy | 16c | 8,028$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.64 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Legacy | 39c | 6,934$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.02 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 6,590$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.73 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 6,107$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.42 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Legacy | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.99 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Legacy | 17c | 4,093$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.85 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Legacy | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 3,838$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.15 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 3,437$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.76 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 3,132$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.73 | 350 | 43.1%151 W · 199 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Legacy | 25c | 3,021$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.81 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Legacy | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Legacy | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Legacy | 42c | 2,384$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Legacy | 65c | 2,300$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.97 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Legacy | 31c | 2,286$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.7 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Legacy | 47c | 2,253$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.48 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Legacy | 35c | 2,250$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71fa…c7e1backed Legacy | 24c | 2,136$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.76 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Legacy | 42c | 2,100$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Legacy | 35c | 2,093$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.65 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Legacy | 25c | 2,030$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 2,011$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.71 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Legacy | 37c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Legacy | 41c | 1,833$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.15 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Legacy | 12c | 1,792$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Legacy | 29c | 1,747$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.53 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 1,729$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.45 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed Legacy | 37c | 1,720$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Legacy | 24c | 1,658$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.61 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 1,650$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.46 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Legacy | 19c | 1,600$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.93 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Legacy | 17c | 1,537$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,496$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.42 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1425backed Legacy | 54c | 1,407$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 1,355$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.08 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Legacy | 23c | 1,340$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Legacy | 15c | 1,240$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,234$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.39 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Legacy | 14c | 1,211$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Legacy | 18c | 1,203$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Legacy | 27c | 1,150$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.15 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 1,087$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 1,079$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.75 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,076$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.82 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,074$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.51 | 537 | 37.1%199 W · 338 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy | 36c | 1,036$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.54 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483f…3683backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 1,009$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 994.51$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.63 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Legacy | 43c | 949.79$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.3 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Legacy | 72c | 892.95$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.94 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 800$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.1 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 785.9$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.88 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Legacy | 13c | 779.51$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Legacy | 20c | 749.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 234 | 33.3%78 W · 156 L | -22.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Legacy | 42c | 714.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 669.53$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.51 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked Legacy | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Legacy | 76c | 658.43$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Legacy | 49c | 626.32$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.48 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Legacy | 23c | 619.51$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.66 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Legacy | 18c | 598.16$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Legacy | 54c | 572.22$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Legacy | 15c | 570$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Legacy | 50c | 568.46$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.84 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Legacy | 30c | 567.83$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Legacy | 6c | 566.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 557.46$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.43 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 545.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.63 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Legacy | 29c | 543.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 499.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.98 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Legacy | 45c | 493.82$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Legacy | 27c | 491.65$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Legacy | 52c | 483.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…ec93backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 472.96$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.86 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Legacy | 32c | 455.28$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Legacy | 31c | 450$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 359 | 48.5%174 W · 185 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Legacy | 15c | 449.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Legacy | 21c | 442.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ad…6b11backed Legacy | 15c | 432$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc5…1cb0backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 430.9$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 422.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.76 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Legacy | 23c | 403.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 402.34$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.34 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Legacy | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 552 | 32.4%179 W · 373 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Legacy | 17c | 394$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 402 | 34.6%139 W · 263 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Legacy | 53c | 392.27$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.13 | 528 | 50.6%267 W · 261 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Legacy | 37c | 366.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 361.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.05 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 346.11$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.91 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…aec4backed Legacy | 28c | 343.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Legacy | 28c | 335.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Legacy | 41c | 318.01$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf6…0d60backed Legacy | 16c | 310$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.