CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6a26c1a21b56a712b4956613a942b2768f90dde3dd3484446413ef53055f6aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,232 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 54c | 1,206$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.21 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 48c | 1,069$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.23 | 2,244 | 47.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 55c | 805.41$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.55 | 4,261 | 49.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L | +62.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Under | 52c | 417.4$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.05 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Over | 48c | 417.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.05 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 52c | 272.29$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.01 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 271.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 50c | 249$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 43c | 209.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 734 | 51.1%375 W · 359 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 36c | 202.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 1,673 | 32.7%547 W · 1,126 L | -48.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 67c | 200.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 3,256 | 51.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L | +89.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…ba84backed Under | 11c | 165.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Over | 29c | 158.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 71c | 148.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…e6fbbacked Under | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked Under | 58c | 120$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…76eabacked Under | 28c | 90.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Over | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 50c | 65.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 58c | 62.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 971 | 43.7%424 W · 547 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 44c | 53.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…589ebacked Under | 62c | 46.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 55c | 46.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Under | 57c | 44.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 293 | 53.6%157 W · 136 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Under | 44c | 31.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Under | 44c | 31.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Under | 44c | 31.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b65…2cf8backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7186…fbacbacked Over | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…8b98backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…7977backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.