TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a01…e6fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs AaB Esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.55
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.91
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.07
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$15.14
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Acend (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$45.13
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Ursa - Map 2 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$33.9
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.38
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$105.84
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Counter-Strike: OG vs BESTIA (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.27
Counter-Strike: OG vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Counter-Strike: Acend vs CarritoSpain (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$57.48
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Acend (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$88.58
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Bbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.27
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$116
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.76
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$62.44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+50.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Copa Colsanitas: Francesca Jones vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.35
Asuncion: Lautaro Midon vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.