CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30163f03522a744cda45ffe2e4a35f5d3b53d338ed81049e452c0cc4b1c2a15e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Alliance | 4c | 2,750$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Alliance | 61c | 2,252$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.13 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Inner Circle Esports | 46c | 2,188$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.4 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Alliance | 4c | 1,760$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Inner Circle Esports | 41c | 1,679$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.43 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Alliance | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 975.31$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.45 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cb…2badbacked Inner Circle Esports | 72c | 961.22$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.36 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Alliance | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Alliance | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Alliance | 4c | 900$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Alliance | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.32per pick | 8cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Inner Circle Esports | 40c | 828.04$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.52 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…1715backed Alliance | 7c | 750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Alliance | 21c | 615.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.51 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Alliance | 21c | 495.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Inner Circle Esports | 41c | 478.68$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.2 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Alliance | 21c | 465$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Alliance | 38c | 412.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.27 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…ee57backed Inner Circle Esports | 42c | 368.4$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.67 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Alliance | 21c | 350$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Alliance | 54c | 320.07$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed Alliance | 65c | 315.76$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.58 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Alliance | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Alliance | 58c | 262.22$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Alliance | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Inner Circle Esports | 42c | 216.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alliance | 48c | 194.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Alliance | 53c | 192.77$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Alliance | 15c | 176$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Alliance | 57c | 173.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Alliance | 63c | 154.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance | 55c | 154.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…6a5ebacked Alliance | 64c | 153.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Inner Circle Esports | 24c | 143.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Alliance | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Inner Circle Esports | 23c | 122.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alliance | 30c | 107.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Inner Circle Esports | 60c | 105.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Alliance | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Alliance | 54c | 90.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 30c | 83.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alliance | 62c | 82.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Alliance | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Alliance | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Inner Circle Esports | 28c | 71.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Inner Circle Esports | 30c | 64.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Alliance | 36c | 59.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Alliance | 57c | 59.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 54.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 41c | 52.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Alliance | 70c | 51.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Inner Circle Esports | 45c | 47.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…3f00backed Inner Circle Esports | 44c | 31.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Inner Circle Esports | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 25.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…e6fbbacked Alliance | 68c | 21.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Alliance | 67c | 17.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.