TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26a0…3f00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.53
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.09
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$20.47
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.98
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.91
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.92
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.36
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.95
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$24.01
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.06
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.41
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.45
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.79
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.7
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.35
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$44.63
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$30.9
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.29
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+147.5%+$34.92
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$55.3
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$38.65
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.78
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$36.51
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$26.37
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+52.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$29.65
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.09
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+154.2%+$18.38
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$38.58
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$13.46
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Keyd (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$21.05
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$10.98
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.2%+$17.61
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$11.65
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs The Last Resort - Map 2 Winnerbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$12.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$20.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$10.31
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$6.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+65%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$11.32
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$3.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$34.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.