CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1427023a0a84d9c531b0f4882e4b0198cec184138ad1de6328b5d302e0c9b8f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sashi Esportof Eternal Fire, Sashi Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sashi Esport | 57c | 1,290$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.21 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Sashi Esport | 50c | 851.39$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.97 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 699.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sashi Esport | 67c | 632.23$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Sashi Esport | 59c | 579.04$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.48 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire | 37c | 540.54$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 465.78$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.81 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…3da4backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 437.63$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Sashi Esport | 66c | 378.31$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sashi Esport | 72c | 276.28$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 243.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Eternal Fire | 37c | 225.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 37c | 189.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Sashi Esport | 61c | 148.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Sashi Esport | 56c | 145.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 130.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Sashi Esport | 52c | 121.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eternal Fire | 28c | 106.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 106.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Sashi Esport | 34c | 98.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Eternal Fire | 25c | 97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 68.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Sashi Esport | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Sashi Esport | 64c | 52.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Sashi Esport | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…cecfbacked Sashi Esport | 43c | 39.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…3f00backed Sashi Esport | 68c | 34.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…7464backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed Sashi Esport | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 29.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Sashi Esport | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsSashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.