TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Under52c107,576$55,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,862.3612146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over48c101,749$48,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,922.231,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c9,015$4,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,607.7140356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e65…4994backed Under54c8,941$4,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8282544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Under52c6,750$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500.472564%16 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Over48c5,087$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.3810941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over46c2,163$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c1,897$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.322,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over48c1,889$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.1740351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over50c1,635$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.774452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over49c1,367$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.112355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c1,108$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.222,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c1,100$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.9876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under50c999.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe15b…bff1backed Under54c999.98$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.991040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over46c787$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.9811058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under52c783.45$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.9910540%42 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c655.43$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2766552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over49c599.98$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9932648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c565.26$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2859450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under51c502.74$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.49038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552969%20 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over46c462.6$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.842948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c455.63$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3418853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c455.63$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3419150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c455.63$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3437754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under52c455.63$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.347557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c407.07$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.21,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under50c397.21$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6133941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under52c391.27$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.464273.8%31 W · 11 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+26.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c385$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.253849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008060%48 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15020552.2%107 W · 98 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under51c300$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over48c299.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1568752.9%46 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under51c287$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3717247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under51c278.1$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8317042.4%72 W · 98 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Over50c216.41$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4132155.5%178 W · 143 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over52c211.59$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5933154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under46c205$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.752,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0813449.3%66 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under51c203.3$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1047149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked Over50c201.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.683455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under52c199.35$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.664067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.815349%75 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under16c178.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2917227.3%47 W · 125 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Over50c176.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9848157.2%275 W · 206 L+21.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f3…25dfbacked Over46c173.34$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.343271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under52c162.88$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0710058%58 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c154.12$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.942,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed Over49c153$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.032171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over47c151.8$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4636748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under51c146.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7610346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over46c137$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.981,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over49c120.61$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5128549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Over57c119.58$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5824749%121 W · 126 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Over56c118.06$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0629052.4%152 W · 138 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Over53c116.89$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8929053.4%155 W · 135 L+1.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over68c115.9$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.681,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d7…552cbacked Under54c112$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.481346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Under54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Over50c100.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.71457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5320245%91 W · 111 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over49c99.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7649053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c99.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.538849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over50c97.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1928550.2%143 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505131.4%16 W · 35 L-8.3wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under53c95.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018548.1%89 W · 96 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over45c95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd12…9debbacked Under53c94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.823756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Under51c93.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.791844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c85.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8582353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over49c73.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.474852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fae…d503backed Over49c62.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.999558.9%56 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over50c54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Under46c53.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0216454.9%90 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under51c42.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6745651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc516…7f3abacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.828063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Over48c40.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1320857.7%120 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Over49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.48055%44 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea75…f4babacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Under55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over46c39.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5110049%49 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over49c39.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.099563.2%60 W · 35 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54b5…75fabacked Over49c39.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.094856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf44f…9897backed Over49c39.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.916947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over48c37.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…3affbacked Over49c37.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over46c34.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5115651.9%81 W · 75 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26a0…3f00backed Over49c33.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.255060%30 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.642750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210260.8%62 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.