NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f1d26180964738984c573a900b0bb133f6181c9d70efeadf328ad802cad721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Hurricanes, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,680,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,740,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,680,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 628 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Senators | 46c | 450,000$207,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242,999.88 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hurricanes | 55c | 431,598$236,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236,755.63 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 46c | 328,140$150,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177,622.86 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 46c | 173,476$79,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,552.18 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hurricanes | 54c | 149,225$80,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,537.79 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hurricanes | 54c | 78,803$42,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,553.42 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hurricanes | 54c | 76,090$40,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,938.1 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Hurricanes | 53c | 56,604$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Hurricanes | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Hurricanes | 54c | 49,999$26,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,999.35 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Hurricanes | 53c | 35,000$18,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,550 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Hurricanes | 50c | 24,156$12,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,101.01 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Hurricanes | 54c | 18,888$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.52 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Hurricanes | 54c | 16,000$8,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,639.9 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Hurricanes | 54c | 15,454$8,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,360.1 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Senators | 65c | 15,134$9,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.54 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Hurricanes | 52c | 14,559$7,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,635.8 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes | 53c | 13,538$7,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,204.1 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Senators | 49c | 10,167$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…1227backed Senators | 45c | 10,160$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,587.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 49c | 8,774$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,517.26 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hurricanes | 28c | 8,240$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.97 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Senators | 46c | 8,237$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.22 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Senators | 47c | 8,225$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,325.44 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hurricanes | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…7c06backed Hurricanes | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Senators | 46c | 7,613$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.41 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes | 32c | 7,064$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.03 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Senators | 46c | 6,845$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.03 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Senators | 77c | 6,494$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Senators | 47c | 6,384$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.49 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Senators | 45c | 6,331$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.5 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hurricanes | 32c | 6,122$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.68 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Senators | 47c | 5,902$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.12 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Hurricanes | 51c | 5,877$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.71 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Senators | 46c | 5,473$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.42 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Senators | 47c | 5,409$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.14 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Hurricanes | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Hurricanes | 30c | 4,629$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Senators | 46c | 4,199$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.33 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Hurricanes | 54c | 4,186$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.22 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Hurricanes | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Hurricanes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Senators | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hurricanes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.89 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa624…eb73backed Senators | 45c | 3,986$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes | 53c | 3,907$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.1 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hurricanes | 53c | 3,603$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.94 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Hurricanes | 0c | 3,602$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Senators | 45c | 3,161$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.49 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 37c | 3,094$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.37 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Hurricanes | 22c | 3,034$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.57 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Hurricanes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 46c | 3,000$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Senators | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Hurricanes | 55c | 2,750$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.5 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Hurricanes | 39c | 2,702$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.11 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Hurricanes | 29c | 2,552$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.16 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Senators | 47c | 2,505$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.99 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Hurricanes | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.99 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…e615backed Hurricanes | 57c | 2,276$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hurricanes | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.84 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Senators | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Hurricanes | 54c | 2,170$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.8 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Senators | 46c | 2,109$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.94 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Hurricanes | 54c | 2,092$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.68 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hurricanes | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Senators | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Hurricanes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Hurricanes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Hurricanes | 53c | 1,889$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Senators | 54c | 1,857$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.29 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x971d…f598backed Hurricanes | 55c | 1,804$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.2 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Senators | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Senators | 46c | 1,762$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.46 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Senators | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Hurricanes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.98 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Senators | 65c | 1,482$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.75 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Senators | 46c | 1,474$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.12 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Hurricanes | 53c | 1,458$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.78 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Hurricanes | 28c | 1,430$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Senators | 45c | 1,408$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.18 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Hurricanes | 55c | 1,405$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 1,387$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.72 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes | 41c | 1,376$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.15 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df1…6583backed Senators | 45c | 1,350$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Senators | 63c | 1,342$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.21 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Senators | 53c | 1,330$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.94 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Hurricanes | 55c | 1,288$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.4 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Hurricanes | 35c | 1,267$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.45 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Senators | 47c | 1,266$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.16 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Hurricanes | 45c | 1,251$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.62 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hurricanes | 55c | 1,234$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.71 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Hurricanes | 39c | 1,187$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.58 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Hurricanes | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Senators | 68c | 1,109$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.01 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Senators | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Hurricanes | 37c | 1,035$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.11 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Hurricanes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Hurricanes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Senatorsthis page
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Senators won
- Spread: Senators (-3.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.