NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x862e7faa401d17173c8f54b5667139b29a007ee0e2087c827617f12a73cb7b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Hurricanes, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Senators | 70c | 3,606$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.61 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes | 20c | 1,631$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.49 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Hurricanes | 34c | 847.41$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.12 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Hurricanes | 34c | 635.56$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.09 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Hurricanes | 29c | 623.69$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.87 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Senators | 66c | 402.07$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Senators | 66c | 227$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Hurricanes | 30c | 208.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Senators | 68c | 206.02$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hurricanes | 31c | 175.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Hurricanes | 28c | 171.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Senators | 70c | 168.57$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hurricanes | 33c | 147.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Hurricanes | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 29c | 143.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes | 30c | 121.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Hurricanes | 28c | 95.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Senators | 72c | 88.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Hurricanes | 29c | 81.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Senators | 70c | 71.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Hurricanes | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Senators | 68c | 52.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Senators | 70c | 50.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Hurricanes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Senators | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hurricanes | 29c | 47.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Hurricanes | 34c | 38.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Senators | 70c | 31.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Senators | 70c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Senators | 67c | 28.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Senators | 70c | 28.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Senators | 70c | 28.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Senators | 69c | 21.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Senators | 69c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. SenatorsSenators won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-3.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.