CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa36dcf13c1d2ba677b9979b9ed6461222b272ca60608e4bc2d65b46c7b16a430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof 100 Thieves, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a5b…691dbacked 100 Thieves | 1c | 18,812$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 37c | 6,320$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.46 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 6,121$3,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.16 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…2f27backed 100 Thieves | 0c | 4,719$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed magic | 33c | 4,700$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.97 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed magic | 27c | 4,246$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.32 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked magic | 30c | 3,297$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.45 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked magic | 30c | 3,261$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.88 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 3,240$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.95 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 2,992$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.25 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…224bbacked 100 Thieves | 78c | 2,550$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed magic | 35c | 2,378$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.65 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 2,355$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.86 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 2,277$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.51 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 2,141$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.5 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked magic | 37c | 1,933$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.86 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 1,882$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.52 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 1,804$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.24 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 32c | 1,692$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 38c | 1,500$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 36c | 1,497$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.03 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic | 35c | 1,453$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.32 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 1,412$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.32 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed magic | 32c | 1,379$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.53 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 1,347$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.42 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 1,233$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.1 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked magic | 24c | 1,120$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.86 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed magic | 30c | 969.93$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.81 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed magic | 24c | 961.76$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.29 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed magic | 62c | 950.13$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.55 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…a001backed 100 Thieves | 8c | 917.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed magic | 32c | 891.88$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.87 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 731.49$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.1 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked magic | 46c | 727.35$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.64 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 717.68$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.52 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 664.64$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.87 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 642.48$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 617.02$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.84 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked magic | 49c | 607.12$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.13 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked magic | 55c | 530.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.68 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked magic | 43c | 523.14$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.97 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed magic | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.67 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed 100 Thieves | 80c | 499.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed magic | 34c | 494.32$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked magic | 39c | 470.27$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.02 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed magic | 34c | 463.05$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.62 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…381abacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 455.25$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.83 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…b921backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 450.76$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.73 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 415.89$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.33 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked magic | 48c | 397.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.8 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 384.37$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.66 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…59cdbacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 366.9$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.35 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed magic | 33c | 354.19$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.18 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…1b4fbacked magic | 32c | 349.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.49 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 305.82$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked magic | 31c | 257.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.14 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 254.54$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.45 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 253.61$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed magic | 16c | 250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 245$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 242.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 240.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed magic | 32c | 239.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 232.81$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed magic | 35c | 228.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.06 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed magic | 80c | 224.95$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 219.45$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.03 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed magic | 29c | 205.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.17 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 201.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked magic | 36c | 201.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked magic | 46c | 194.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 191.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 188$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed magic | 14c | 187.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed magic | 21c | 184.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.88 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed magic | 18c | 179.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.09 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed magic | 34c | 160.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 160.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed magic | 44c | 157.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed magic | 35c | 151.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked magic | 25c | 150.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed magic | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 149.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 147.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed magic | 42c | 147.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 145.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 143.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…f485backed magic | 20c | 142.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 140.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 138.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…96c6backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 136.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 134.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4f…bdc8backed magic | 38c | 132.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 132$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed magic | 30c | 124.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked magic | 39c | 123.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed magic | 36c | 118.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed magic | 34c | 115.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.