CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7de7738eb1f34706682419ec08c0621b21641e251b45c9e2a024fe81e5fa0149
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof 100 Thieves, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked magic | 35c | 5,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.98 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 3,013$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.3 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 2,950$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.97 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 54c | 1,871$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.7 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed magic | 44c | 1,659$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.3 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked magic | 46c | 1,589$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.74 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 890.12$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.41 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked magic | 55c | 783.37$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.61 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 679.32$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.95 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed magic | 52c | 627.79$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 584.33$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.64 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked magic | 51c | 488.21$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.04 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 13c | 425$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 338.12$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 274.34$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.46 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 56c | 267.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…1b4fbacked magic | 42c | 227.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.05 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 216.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 199.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 191.39$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 190.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed 100 Thieves | 9c | 189.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 185$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…6a5ebacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 165.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 152.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 127.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed magic | 40c | 119.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 106.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…03b2backed magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 98.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed magic | 42c | 96.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 93.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 91.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed magic | 47c | 83.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 79.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 73.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed magic | 47c | 68.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 62.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…3a6bbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 57.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -21.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 52.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 49.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed magic | 45c | 43.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…f1c6backed magic | 36c | 37.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…edaabacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 35.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked magic | 39c | 35.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed magic | 40c | 35.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8b…612fbacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 33.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…7e30backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 32.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…3f00backed magic | 63c | 31.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 29.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 29.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…f485backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 28.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked magic | 44c | 28.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 26.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed magic | 47c | 24.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 61cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 20.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsmagic won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.