TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfaf1…03b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tweets, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Centurion: Harold Mayot vs Semen Pankinbacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.15
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Jaqueline Cristian vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.99
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Camila Osorio vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$23.4
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sloane Stephensbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$67
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$52.99
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.99
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Bengaluru 3: Takuya Kumasaka vs Taiyo Yamanakabacked Taiyo Yamanaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$51.79
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$32.4
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.5
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibsonbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.16
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$17
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Madrid Open: Panna Udvardy vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Daniil Ostapenkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.86
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.67
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.5
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$49.71
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$60.45
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$29.5
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$229
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$141.3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$164.88
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.77
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$90.2
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42%+$35.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$62.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+215.8%+$204.99
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$125
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$20.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.8
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.